Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
43.2%56.8%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.51Projected Runs 5.22
2Final Score 4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Quinn Priester (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-28.611.733

Brandon Williamson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
214-54.561.294

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 13-12 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Connor Phillips+120
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Andre Jackson • CIN: Andrew Abbott+132
W 8-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+153
W 13-7 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Justin Steele+176
L 1-14 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Javier Assad+152
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 13-12 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Connor Phillips-128
L 7-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andre Jackson • CIN: Andrew Abbott-140
L 5-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CIN: Hunter Greene-124
L 7-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Fernando Cruz+115
W 3-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • CIN: Connor Phillips+138

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 2BJi-Hwan BaeRest
  • DHAndrew McCutchenOut for Season

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • PTejay Antone15-day IL
  • CEric Yang10-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain10-day IL
  • RFHunter RenfroeRest
NNE 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°78°79°80°
Humidity51%49%48%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindNNE 7 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+150+134+122+131+130+131+134+135.9
Reds-182-144-145-143-140-143-140-135.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+158+132+128+130+133+128+133+135.9
Reds-190-142-140-155-145-148-140-135.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +145 to +138
Reds ML moved from -182 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +137 to +128
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-148+1½-150+1½-147+1½-145+1½-147+1½-145+1½-135
Reds-1½+105-1½+132-1½+130-1½+127-1½+125-1½+127-1½+132-1½+135
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-150+1½-148+1½-140+1½-150+1½-150+1½-140+1½-135
Reds-1½-100-1½+130-1½+130-1½+118-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11+100o10½-113o11+100o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115o10½-113o10½-104
Underu11-120u10½-103u11-120u10½-105u10½-105u10½-105u11-120u10½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo11-105o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115o10½-115o10½-104
Underu11-115u10½-105u10½-105u10½-105u10½-105u10½-105u10½-105u10½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-110 to o10½-120
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105