Pirates at Phillies

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
39.7%60.3%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
3.27Projected Runs 4.36
2Final Score 3
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3113-94.251.258

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3112-94.571.171

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Quinn Priester • CIN: Brandon Williamson+133
W 13-12 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Connor Phillips+120
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Andre Jackson • CIN: Andrew Abbott+132
W 8-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+153
W 13-7 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Justin Steele+176
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 2-5 vs New York MetsNYM: José Butto • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-172
W 5-7 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • PHI: Zack Wheeler-180
W 4-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • PHI: Taijuan Walker-157
W 4-5 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Ranger Suárez-155
W 6-5 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Aaron Nola • ATL: Bryce Elder+132

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 1BConnor JoeRest
  • CJason DelayRest
  • DHAndrew McCutchenOut for Season

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
NE 9 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)60°60°59°59°
Humidity90%89%88%87%
Precipitation16%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNE 9 mphNE 9 mphNE 8 mphNE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+139+164+155+165+165+165+165+170.4
Phillies-165-177-188-180-175-180-175-170.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+143+160+160+143+164+155+164+170.4
Phillies-170-175-176-170-180-180-175-170.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Phillies ML moved from -175 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +160
Phillies ML moved from -184 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-128+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-133+1½-128+1½-122
Phillies-1½+140-1½+112-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+113-1½+115-1½+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-125+1½-130+1½-135+1½-120+1½-135+1½-120+1½-122
Phillies-1½+140-1½+105-1½+112-1½+115-1½+100-1½+115-1½+115-1½+122

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-113o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½-115u7½-103u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-110o7½-118o7½-120o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-104
Underu7½-115u7½-110u7½-102u7½+100u7½-115u7½-110u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o8-103
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-102