Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
37.4%62.6%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.20Projected Runs 4.52
5Final Score 3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Ryan Yarbrough (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-55.211.263

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-23.211.366

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 5-8 at New York YankeesKCR: Jordan Lyles • NYY: Luis Severino+175
L 2-5 at New York YankeesKCR: Brady Singer • NYY: Gerrit Cole+220
L 4-5 at New York YankeesKCR: Alec Marsh • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+180
L 3-0 vs Detroit TigersDET: Michael Lorenzen • KCR: Zack Greinke+120
L 3-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • KCR: Ryan Yarbrough+140
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • CLE: Xzavion Curry+120
W 0-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Tanner Bibee+112
W 5-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • CLE: Gavin Williams+108
L 5-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Rich Hill-135
W 10-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Logan Allen • PIT: Mitch Keller-102

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PJosh Taylor60-day IL
  • PDaniel Lynch15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PShane Bieber60-day IL
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PCal Quantrill15-day IL
NNW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°78°77°75°
Humidity57%60%61%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 4 mphN 2 mphENE 2 mphESE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+169+184+178+182+185+182+185+188.0
Guardians-185-204-218-200-200-200-200-188.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+162+182+185+175+185+185+185+188.0
Guardians-195-205-205-210-205-220-205-188.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +175 to +169
Guardians ML moved from -193 to -204

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +175 to +165
Guardians ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-130+1½-108+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-108+1½+100
Guardians-1½+110-1½-108-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-108-1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-130+1½-105+1½-106+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½-105+1½+100
Guardians-1½+110-1½-115-1½-112-1½-115-1½-115-1½-115-1½-112-1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-118o8½-120o8½-126o9+105o8½-126o8½-118o8½-115
Underu8½-110u8½+102u8½+100u8½+106u9-125u8½+106u8½+106u8½+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-105o9+108o9+105o9+100o8½-120o9+108o8½-115
Underu8½-105u9-115u9-128u9-125u9-120u8½+100u9-115u8½+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-117 to o8½-126
The Under moved from u9-118 to u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-118 to u9-128