Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
46.6%53.4%
Pirates WinCubs Win
5.29Projected Runs 5.65
4Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-27.31.622

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-14.51.5

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-21 at Chicago CubsPIT: Zach Thompson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+158
W 4-2 at Chicago CubsPIT: Jose Quintana • CHC: Drew Smyly+160
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Mark Leiter+149
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+220
L 2-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Corbin Burnes+227
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-21 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-168
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • CHC: Drew Smyly-168
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Mark Leiter-156
L 8-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CHC: Marcus Stroman-103
L 6-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Matt Wisler • CHC: Justin Steele+116

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • 1BDaniel VogelbachRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
  • LFClint Frazier10-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • SSNico HoernerRest
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL
SSW 17 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)67°67°67°67°
Humidity76%74%75%72%
Precipitation34%40%45%35%
ConditionRainRainRainPossible Light Rain
WindSSW 17 mphSSW 17 mphSSW 17 mphSW 16 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+175+126+143+141+145+143+145+144.6
Cubs-185-150-155-151-155-155-150-144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+151+144+142+141+141+145+145+144.6
Cubs-161-154-156-151-154-155-151-144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +139 to +130
Cubs ML moved from -145 to -151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +140 to +130
Cubs ML moved from -145 to -154

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-140+1½-137+1½-140+1½-137+1½-137+1½-137+1½-128
Cubs-1½+110-1½+120-1½+117-1½+120-1½+117-1½+117-1½+120-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-110+1½-135+1½-134+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-134+1½-128
Cubs-1½-110-1½+115-1½+116-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o10-115o10-106o10-110o10-106o10-106o10-106o10+100
Underu9-110u10-105u10-114u10-110u10-114u10-114u10-105u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o10-115o10-105o10-110o10-115o10-115o10-105o10+100
Underu9-120u10-105u10-115u10-110u10-105u10-105u10-105u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-105