Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
50.7%49.3%
Reds WinGuardians Win
4.15Projected Runs 4.07
11Final Score 7
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-64.241.346

Lucas Giolito (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
318-144.61.261

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Quinn Priester • CIN: Brandon Williamson-140
L 13-12 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CIN: Connor Phillips-128
L 7-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andre Jackson • CIN: Andrew Abbott-140
L 5-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CIN: Hunter Greene-124
L 7-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Fernando Cruz+115
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Gibson • CLE: Triston McKenzie-108
L 2-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: John Means • CLE: Cal Quantrill+120
W 8-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • CLE: Shane Bieber-110
W 2-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Grayson Rodriguez • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+139
L 2-6 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Lucas Giolito • KCR: Zack Greinke-145

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain10-day IL
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
  • PTejay Antone15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTanner Bibee15-day IL
  • CCam GallagherRest
  • PLogan Allen15-day IL
ESE 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°67°65°64°
Humidity68%70%71%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 10 mphESE 11 mphESE 11 mphESE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-107+104-107+100+102+100+104+104.8
Guardians-103-112-113-110-112-110-110-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-105-101-101+110+103-103+110+104.8
Guardians-105-109-109-120-113-113-109-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +102 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 80.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +104 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -118 to -127

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+155+1½-202+1½-225+1½-205+1½-205+1½-205+1½-202+1½-185
Guardians+1½-175-1½+178-1½+185-1½+175-1½+172-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+158+1½-210+1½-205+1½-205+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-185
Guardians+1½-190-1½+180-1½+181-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+181-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-113o7½-120o7½-116o7½-110o7½-116o7½-110o7½-105
Underu8-115u8-103u7½+100u7½-104u7½-110u7½-104u8-103u7½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-105o7½-115o7½-105o7½-105
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-115u7½-105u7½-105u7½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-103 to o8-113
The Under moved from u8-112 to u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-135
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-105