Mets at Guardians

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
45.1%54.9%
Mets WinGuardians Win
3.88Projected Runs 4.40
3Final Score 6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

José Quintana (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-33.231.31

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 6-7 at Cleveland GuardiansNYM: Adrian Houser • CLE: Xzavion Curry+109
L 1-3 at Cleveland GuardiansNYM: Tylor Megill • CLE: Ben Lively+118
W 7-3 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Sean Manaea • MIA: Sixto Sánchez-131
L 9-10 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Luis Severino • MIA: Braxton Garrett-115
L 0-8 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Christian Scott • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-119
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 6-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Adrian Houser • CLE: Xzavion Curry-111
W 1-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • CLE: Ben Lively-121
W 2-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Chris Paddack • CLE: Tanner Bibee+100
W 4-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen+115
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Triston McKenzie-120

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PBrooks Raley15-day IL
  • PDrew Smith15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
SW 15 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°75°74°77°
Humidity68%68%71%68%
Precipitation51%40%40%11%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindSW 15 mphSW 15 mphSW 14 mphSW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+112-105-110-107-112-107-105-101.9
Guardians-122-105-110-103+102-103+102+101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+118-108-112-112-112-108-108-101.9
Guardians-128-102+102-103+102-102+102+101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -104 to -112
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -105 to -112
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-175+1½-212-1½+165+1½-210+1½-205+1½-210+1½-190
Guardians-1½+155-1½+183+1½-195-1½+180-1½+172-1½+180-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-165+1½-220+1½-220+1½-210+1½-200+1½-215+1½-200+1½-190
Guardians-1½+145-1½+190-1½+192-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185-1½+192-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o9-113o9-115o9-125o9-125o9-125o9-113o9-114
Underu8+105u9-103u9-105u9+105u9+105u9+105u9+105u9+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-120o9-110o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-110o9-114
Underu8½-110u9+100u9-110u9+100u9+100u9-105u9+100u9+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-116 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-110