MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2024
Games for Dec 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
46.9%
53.1%
+113
-120
+116
-119
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
2
-0.77096-0.77644-0.75728
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
36.2%
63.8%
+202
-220
+210
-229
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-113
9
5
-1.12371-1.14986-1.01653
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
37.6%
62.4%
+168
-175
+164
-175
+1½-134
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+126
4
6
-0.46143-0.46703-0.47103
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
57.6%
42.4%
-146
+137
-151
+141
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½-109
+1½-105
2
1
-0.53703-0.52457-0.55149
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
48.3%
51.7%
-136
+130
-138
+132
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
0
-0.56217-0.55582-0.72703
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
43.2%
56.8%
+191
-205
+190
-200
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-103
2
11
-0.41294-0.41690-0.56555
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
44.7%
55.3%
+104
-113
+106
-114
+1½-193
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
1
-0.73345-0.74068-0.80569
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
59.1%
40.9%
-141
+136
-142
+137
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
8
0
-0.54480-0.54178-0.52650
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
54.5%
45.5%
-104
-104
-102
-103
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-170
1
3
-0.69315-0.69073-0.78779
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
56.8%
43.2%
-134
+126
-132
+126
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-130
6
3
-0.57251-0.57531-0.56644
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
43.1%
56.9%
+111
-118
+110
-115
+1½-193
-1½+172
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
1
-0.76179-0.75294-0.84220
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
47.0%
53.0%
+136
-142
+137
-140
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-164
-1½+160
6
7
-0.54356-0.54426-0.63567
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
52.2%
47.8%
-138
+130
-136
+129
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+122
+1½-130
9
8
-0.55953-0.56405-0.65028
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
63.4%
36.6%
-225
+212
-230
+220
-1½-153
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+145
13
2
-0.38046-0.37044-0.45538
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.3%
55.7%
+198
-200
+190
-198
+1½-102
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-105
5
0
-1.09416-1.07391-0.81482
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
43.7%
56.3%
+207
-225
+200
-210
+1½-101
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
2
-0.38560-0.40015-0.57456
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.