MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (12-17)
Cincinnati Reds (16-13)
Miles Mikolas
Brady Singer
43.7%
56.3%
+126
-136
+126
-140

+1½-151
-1½+131
4.04
4.69
8.73
o9-113
u9-103
o9½-105
u9½-115
Detroit Tigers (18-11)
Houston Astros (15-13)
Jackson Jobe
A.J. Blubaugh
46.6%
53.4%
+105
-125
+104
-116
+1½-200
-1½+165
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.68
4.03
7.71
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Atlanta Braves (13-15)
Colorado Rockies (4-24)
Chris Sale
Chase Dollanger
69.0%
31.0%
-240
+231
-240
+238
-1½-165
+1½+146
-1½-155
+1½+150
5.43
3.48
8.91
o10-113
u10+100
o10-115
u10+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (12-16)
Los Angeles Dodgers (19-10)
Cal Quantrill
Tony Gonsolin
21.8%
78.2%
+248
-279
+254
-280
+1½+130
-1½-142
+1½+125
-1½-135
3.20
6.18
9.38
o9½-113
u9½-103
o9½-105
u9½-110
San Francisco Giants (19-10)
San Diego Padres (17-11)
Landen Roupp
Michael King
39.8%
60.2%
+123
-132
+120
-127
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.36
7.64
o7-108
u7-108
o7-105
u7+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (12-15)
Seattle Mariners (16-12)
Tyler Anderson
Emerson Hancock
43.9%
56.1%
+133
-142
+136
-144
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.82
4.47
8.29
o8½-103
u8½-110
o8-115
u8+105
Minnesota Twins (13-16)
Cleveland Guardians (15-13)
Pablo Lopez
Luis Ortiz
51.2%
48.8%
-123
+115
-124
+117
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-140
3.60
3.48
7.08
o7-115
u7+102
o7-120
u7½-110
All Bet Values Active
New York Yankees (17-12)
Baltimore Orioles (11-17)
Unknown
Unknown
54.7%
45.3%
-110
+101
-108
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
4.22
3.74
7.96
o10-103
u9½+105
o10+100
u9½+110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (17-12)
Pittsburgh Pirates (11-18)
Matthew Boyd
Carmen Mlodzinski
66.0%
34.0%
-160
+150
-163
+150
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
5.32
3.66
8.98
o9+107
u9-123
o9+105
u9-115
St. Louis Cardinals (12-17)
Cincinnati Reds (16-13)
Steven Matz
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
42.1%
57.9%
+122
-145
-103
-117
+1½-165
-1½+135
+1½-195
-1½+170
4.11
4.94
9.05
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-120
u9+100
Washington Nationals (13-16)
Philadelphia Phillies (15-13)
Jake Irvin
Cristopher Sanchez
30.3%
69.7%
+194
-214
+191
-215
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
3.41
5.43
8.84
o8½-103
u8+105
o8½+100
u8½-120
Kansas City Royals (14-15)
Tampa Bay Rays (14-14)
Noah Cameron
Drew Rasmussen
41.2%
58.8%
+159
-173
+159
-178
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+112
3.23
4.16
7.39
o8½-108
u8½-108
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (16-14)
Toronto Blue Jays (13-15)
Lucas Giolito
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.0%
52.0%
-120
+100

-1½+135
+1½-160

4.05
4.26
8.31
o9-120
u9+100

Arizona Diamondbacks (15-13)
New York Mets (20-9)
Corbin Burnes
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
46.5%
53.5%
-115
-105

-1½+150
+1½-180

3.92
4.28
8.20
o8-110
u8-110

Milwaukee Brewers (14-15)
Chicago White Sox (7-21)
Tobias Myers
Shane Smith
64.7%
35.3%
-152
+143
-155
+150
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
5.16
3.63
8.79
o7½-110
u7½-103
o7½-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (15-14)
Texas Rangers (15-14)
Luis Severino
Nathan Eovaldi
41.6%
58.4%
+135
-144
+135
-147
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
3.04
3.91
6.95
o8-105
u8-108
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Apr 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
49.9%
50.1%
+123
-133
+124
-126
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
1
-0.82107-0.81042-0.69483
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.4%
50.6%
+113
-121
+118
-119
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
2
-0.61923-0.61205-0.68140
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
54.4%
45.6%
+119
-129
+119
-125
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+155
7
8
-0.59365-0.59989-0.78629
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.3%
43.7%
-144
+134
-142
+136
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+114
+1½-120
7
3
-0.54473-0.54356-0.57362
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
44.4%
55.6%
+117
-127
+118
-125
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+150
10
4
-0.79483-0.79350-0.81261
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.1%
45.9%
-110
+101
-109
+103
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
11
4
-0.66771-0.66503-0.61365
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
52.8%
47.2%
-149
+139
-146
+140
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-123
4
1
-0.53018-0.53184-0.63936
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians
45.9%
54.1%
-110
+100
-109
+102
+1½-195
-1½+170

2
7
-0.71668-0.71953-0.61471
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
41.1%
58.9%
+124
-134
+128
-129
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
17
14
-0.82538-0.82608-0.88906
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
48.1%
51.9%
+144
-148
+142
-147
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+141
4
7
-0.52281-0.52728-0.65593
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
57.1%
42.9%
-160
+154
-158
+150
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-112
8
6
-0.49456-0.50269-0.55951
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
54.4%
45.6%
-114
+115
-116
+110
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-150
1
2
-0.76329-0.75509-0.78421
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
42.8%
57.2%
+120
-130
+124
-130
+1½-160
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+152
12
3
-0.80802-0.81805-0.84793
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
56.6%
43.4%
-144
+135
-143
+139
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-118
5
3
-0.54294-0.53708-0.56957
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
38.9%
61.1%
+176
-182
+170
-184
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+105
6
5
-1.02290-1.01134-0.94364
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
46.1%
53.9%
+138
-141
+135
-136
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+145
4
5
-0.54125-0.55299-0.61730
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.53996 
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.53861 
DRatings1413-1 (0.929)0-0.52835
0.01161
0.01026

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.