Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins Los Angeles Dodgers | 27.3% 72.7% | +189 -205 +200 -200 | +1½-112 -1½+100 +1½-110 -1½+105 | 2 15 | -0.41529-0.40546 | -0.31842 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Seattle Mariners | 33.2% 66.8% | +195 -214 +191 -200 | +1½-115 -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+105 | 3 5 | -0.40372-0.41571 | -0.40318 | |
| San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres | 48.3% 51.7% | -111 +105 -113 +107 | -1½+152 +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-170 | 4 7 | -0.73162-0.74108 | -0.65880 | |
| Minnesota Twins Cleveland Guardians | 42.0% 58.0% | +116 -122 +118 -128 | +1½-175 -1½+161 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 1 2 | -0.61109-0.59724 | -0.54530 | |
| Atlanta Braves Colorado Rockies | 57.6% 42.4% | -195 +186 -200 +187 | -1½-133 +1½+118 -1½-130 +1½+123 | 8 2 | -0.42459-0.42045 | -0.55118 | |
| Detroit Tigers Houston Astros | 46.9% 53.1% | +104 -111 +105 -111 | +1½-200 -1½+190 | 4 6 | -0.65846-0.65610 | -0.63265 | |
| Oakland Athletics Texas Rangers | 36.8% 63.2% | +180 -190 +185 -200 | +1½-118 -1½+102 +1½-115 -1½+100 | 2 15 | -0.43510-0.42286 | -0.45959 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Chicago White Sox | 69.8% 30.2% | -250 +227 -250 +230 | -1½-148 +1½+135 -1½-140 +1½+130 | 7 2 | -0.35636-0.35364 | -0.36002 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks New York Mets | 46.6% 53.4% | +124 -130 +125 -128 | +1½-163 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 3 8 | -0.58212-0.58315 | -0.62811 | |
| Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays | 54.0% 46.0% | -131 +127 -130 +126 | -1½+125 +1½-128 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 10 2 | -0.57481-0.57821 | -0.61620 | |
| Kansas City Royals Tampa Bay Rays | 43.8% 56.2% | +139 -147 +140 -153 | +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 3 1 | -0.88474-0.89664 | -0.82451 | |
| Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates | 61.1% 38.9% | -144 +136 -150 +136 | -1½+112 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 9 0 | -0.54116-0.53428 | -0.49212 | |
| Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies | 29.2% 70.8% | +171 -179 +170 -182 | +1½-127 -1½+112 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 6 7 | -0.45435-0.45353 | -0.34490 | |
| New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles | 57.0% 43.0% | -161 +159 -167 +158 | -1½-113 +1½+100 -1½-105 +1½+100 | 15 3 | -0.48607-0.48224 | -0.56193 | |
| Miami Marlins Los Angeles Dodgers | 22.6% 77.4% | +246 -270 +240 -270 | +1½+130 -1½-138 +1½+120 -1½-130 | 6 7 | -0.33366-0.33865 | -0.25600 | |
| Atlanta Braves Colorado Rockies | 57.9% 42.1% | -167 +160 -170 +160 | -1½-113 +1½+100 -1½-120 +1½+105 | 6 3 | -0.47929-0.47678 | -0.54657 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 12-2 (0.857) | 0 | -0.53996 | |
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 12-2 (0.857) | 0 | -0.53861 | |
| DRatings | 14 | 13-1 (0.929) | 0 | -0.52835 | 0.01161 0.01026 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.