ADO Den Haag at Excelsior

Updated

ADO Den Haag

18.6%22.9%58.5%
WinDrawExcelsior Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.80
1Final Score 7

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

ADO Den Haag
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Excelsior+160
L 2-3 at Twente+400
L 4-1 vs Willem II+250
W 1-0 at Zwolle+305
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord+725
Excelsior
Money Line
W 2-1 at ADO Den Haag+155
L 0-4 at Feyenoord+700
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo-140
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+125
T 2-2 at Ajax+700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
ADO Den Haag+255+247+245+200+234+200+247+232.9
Excelsior-118+103+100-101-102-101+103+120.9
Draw+260+286+260+265+283+265+286+305.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
ADO Den Haag+280----+265+265+232.9
Excelsior-110-----110-110+120.9
Draw+280----+295+295+305.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

ADO Den Haag: 0.0%
Excelsior: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

ADO Den Haag: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

ADO Den Haag ML moved from +244 to +234
Excelsior ML moved from -112 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
ADO Den Haag: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

ADO Den Haag: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

ADO Den Haag: 50.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

ADO Den Haag ML moved from +275 to +265
Excelsior ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-103o3-123o3-122o3-124o3-123o3-124o3-122o3-113
Underu3-117u3+105u3+102u3+104u3-101u3+104u3+105u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100----o3-115o3-115o3-113
Underu3-120----u3-105u3-105u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.69%
Exactly 224.47%
Exactly 414.92%
Exactly 63.64%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.09%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.07%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - ADO Den Haag
Exactly 040.52%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.54%
Exactly 34.98%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 016.51%
Exactly 129.74%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 316.08%
Exactly 47.24%
Exactly 52.61%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.59%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.36%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - ADO Den Haag
Exactly 065.82%
Exactly 127.53%
Exactly 25.76%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 043.43%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.10%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

ADO Den Haag
Wins by 2+ goals6.03%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals33.59%
Wins by 3+ goals15.52%
Wins by 4+ goals5.88%
Wins by 5+ goals1.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

ADO Den Haag
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
ADO Den Haag
Wins by 1 goal12.49%
Wins by 2 goals4.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal24.90%
Wins by 2 goals18.07%
Wins by 3 goals9.64%
Wins by 4 goals4.03%
Wins by 5 goals1.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.31%6.69%
1.575.22%24.78%
2.550.75%49.25%
3.528.69%71.31%
4.513.78%86.22%
5.55.71%94.29%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals ADO Den Haag Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.48%40.52%
1.522.88%77.12%
2.56.34%93.66%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.49%16.51%
1.553.75%46.25%
2.526.97%73.03%
3.510.89%89.11%
4.53.65%96.35%
5.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.41%28.59%
1.535.62%64.38%
2.513.20%86.80%
3.53.85%96.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

ADO Den Haag
Excelsior
Score012345
0
6.69%
12.05%
10.85%
6.52%
2.93%
1.06%
1
6.04%
10.89%
9.80%
5.89%
2.65%
0.95%
2
2.73%
4.92%
4.43%
2.66%
1.20%
0.43%
3
0.82%
1.48%
1.33%
0.80%
0.36%
0.13%
4
0.19%
0.33%
0.30%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
ADO Den Haag
1-06.04%
2-02.73%
2-14.92%
3-00.82%
3-11.48%
3-21.33%
4-00.19%
4-10.33%
4-20.30%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-06.69%
1-110.89%
2-24.43%
3-30.80%
Excelsior
0-112.05%
0-210.85%
1-29.80%
0-36.52%
1-35.89%
2-32.66%
0-42.93%
1-42.65%
2-41.20%
3-40.36%
0-51.06%
1-50.95%
2-50.43%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

ADO Den Haag
Excelsior
Score01234
0
28.59%
23.84%
9.94%
2.76%
0.58%
1
11.96%
9.97%
4.16%
1.16%
0.24%
2
2.50%
2.09%
0.87%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.35%
0.29%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
ADO Den Haag
1-011.96%
2-02.50%
2-12.09%
3-00.35%
3-10.29%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-028.59%
1-19.97%
2-20.87%
Excelsior
0-123.84%
0-29.94%
1-24.16%
0-32.76%
1-31.16%
2-30.24%
0-40.58%
1-40.24%