Miami vs Kansas City

Updated
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
42.1%57.9%
Miami WinKansas City Win
24.1Projected Points 26.9
14Final Score 21
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.4812.5187

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.8810.8158

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 17-31 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-350
L 17-31 at Philadelphia EaglesMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • PHI: Jalen Hurts+150
W 21-42 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-1050
W 16-31 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-735
L 20-48 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+138
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 9-24 at Denver BroncosKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Russell Wilson-320
W 17-31 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-260
W 8-19 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Russell Wilson • KC: Patrick Mahomes-635
W 27-20 at Minnesota VikingsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIN: Kirk Cousins-175
W 23-20 at New York JetsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NYJ: Zach Wilson-410

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TEDurham SmytheProbable
  • OLConnor WilliamsProbable
  • -Isaiah WynnIR
  • SBrandon JonesOut
  • TTerron ArmsteadQuestionable
  • WRRiver CracraftProbable
  • WRBraxton BerriosProbable
  • CBXavien HowardProbable
  • CBJustin BethelProbable
  • RBChristopher BrooksIR
  • CBNik NeedhamProbable
  • -Kendall LammProbable
  • SJevon HollandProbable
  • TRobert HuntOut
  • RBDevon AchaneIR

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • LBNick BoltonOut
  • RBJerick McKinnonProbable
  • WRJustyn RossOut
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireOut
  • WRRichie JamesProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Probable
SE 4 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)42°47°53°58°
Humidity88%81%74%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSE 4 mphSE 5 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 7 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+115--115-115+100-115-115-104.4
Kansas City-135--105-105-120-105-105+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+118-110-115-110-110-110-110-104.4
Kansas City-140-110-103-110-110-110-103+104.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+2½-108+0-108-1-110-1-110+0-110-1-110+0-108-1+100
Kansas City-2½-108+0-108+1-110+1-110+0-110+1-110+1-110+1+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+2½-110+0-110-1-110+0-110+0-110+0-110+0-110-1+100
Kansas City-2½-110+0-110+1-110+0-110+0-110+0-110+1-110+1+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +1-113 to +0-113
Kansas City Spread moved from -2+100 to -2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +1-110 to -1-110
No Steam Moves On Kansas City Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-108o51½-108o51-115o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-108o51½+100
Underu50½-108u51½-108u51-105u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-108u51½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o52-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½+100
Underu51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u52-110u51½-110u52-110u51½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51½-110 to o51½-115
The Under moved from u51½-105 to u51-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51½-110 to o52-110
The Under moved from u52-110 to u51½-110