NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
81.3%
18.7%
-370
+300
-360
+315
-7-108
+7+100
-7-110
+7+100
29.9
17.6
47.5
o50-110
u50½-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.6%
10.4%
-610
+500
-650
+550
-10½-108
+10½-105
-10½-108
+11-110
32.2
11.8
44.0
o43-108
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.0%
28.0%
-165
+150
-165
+155
-3-113
+3½-118
-3-110
+3+100
23.6
16.7
40.3
o39½+100
u39½-108
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
18.9%
81.1%
+450
-555
+475
-580
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-108
-10½-110
17.8
29.8
47.6
o45-108
u45-108
o44½-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
65.7%
34.3%
-270
+235
-260
+240
-6-108
+6+100
-6-108
+6-105
23.9
19.5
43.4
o40-105
u40½-108
o40-110
u40-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.3%
81.7%
+300
-365
+310
-360
+7+100
-7-113
+7+102
-7-110
14.9
27.2
42.1
o45½-105
u45½-108
o45½-110
u46-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
18.6%
81.4%
+310
-380
+340
-380
+7½-108
-7½-108
+8-110
-7½-108
15.1
27.2
42.3
o40-110
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.6%
28.4%
-250
+215
-250
+220
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
22.8
15.7
38.5
o41½-108
u41½-105
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
50.8%
49.2%
-115
-105
-108
-105
+0-108
+0-108
+0-108
+1-110
24.0
23.6
47.6
o47-110
u47½-108
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brandon Allen
Jordan Love
36.3%
63.7%
+210
-245
+210
-240
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
-5-110
20.8
24.3
45.1
o44½-108
u44½-108
o44½-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
63.0%
37.0%
-150
+130
-145
+130
-3+102
+3-117
-3+100
+3-110
25.0
21.4
46.4
o48½-115
u49-108
o49-110
u49-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Panthers
Detroit Lions
20.4%
79.6%
+380
-465
+400
-475
+9½-105
-9-107
+9½-110
-9½-110
24
42
-0.22565-0.21680-0.22813
Houston Texans
Atlanta Falcons
40.3%
59.7%
+120
-135
+125
-135
+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2½-110
19
21
-0.58291-0.57304-0.51524
Jacksonville Jaguars
Buffalo Bills
25.7%
74.3%
+210
-225
+215
-240
+5-110
-4½-108
+5½-110
-4½-110
25
20
-1.14618-1.17047-1.35903
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
25.8%
74.2%
+220
-255
+225
-260
+6-110
-5½-108
+6-110
-6-110
40
20
-1.19349-1.20815-1.35646
Seattle Seahawks
New York Giants
50.6%
49.4%
-137
+120
-135
+120
-2½-105
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-105
24
3
-0.58018-0.58291-0.68029
Kansas City Chiefs
New York Jets
76.5%
23.5%
-415
+350
-410
+375
-7½-108
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-110
23
20
-0.24355-0.23260-0.26763
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
10.2%
89.8%
+700
-1000
+720
-1000
+15½-110
-14½-108
+15-110
-14½-110
16
35
-0.12883-0.12588-0.10791
New England Patriots
Dallas Cowboys
29.4%
70.6%
+227
-260
+230
-260
+6-105
-6-108
+6-110
-6-110
3
38
-0.35307-0.35037-0.34790
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
29.7%
70.3%
+245
-270
+240
-260
+6½-108
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6-110
17
24
-0.33448-0.34163-0.35277
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
62.8%
37.2%
-135
+120
-135
+130
-2½-105
+2+100
-2½-110
+2½-105
3
27
-0.81706-0.84211-0.99002
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
16.6%
83.4%
+360
-410
+365
-425
+8½-108
-8½-108
+9½-110
-8½-110
31
34
-0.23934-0.23558-0.18156
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
34.7%
65.3%
+190
-210
+196
-215
+4½-108
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
26
9
-1.08672-1.10537-1.05817
Los Angeles Rams
Indianapolis Colts
53.2%
46.8%
-124
+105
-120
+105
-1½-108
+2-110
-1-110
+1½-110
29
23
-0.63190-0.63885-0.63047
Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans
65.2%
34.8%
-145
+130
-150
+140
-3+102
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-119
6
30
-0.85918-0.89199-1.05415
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
53.5%
46.5%
-120
+105
-115
+105
-1½-108
+2-108
-1-110
+1½-110
28
3
-0.63885-0.64814-0.62590
Denver Broncos
Chicago Bears
51.5%
48.5%
-145
+140
-155
+145
-3+100
+3-108
-3-105
+3-105
31
28
-0.53299-0.51371-0.66374
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.