NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
10.8%
89.2%
+430
-520
+435
-500
+10-105
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.9
32.0
45.9
o48½-108
u48½-108
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
37.4%
62.6%
+170
-190
+175
-185
+3½-108
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
21.0
24.5
45.5
o37½-105
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.9%
63.1%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.3
24.8
46.1
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
31.3%
68.7%
+160
-175
+160
-170
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½-110
-3½-110
19
24
-0.47276-0.47678-0.37584
Kansas City Chiefs
Arizona Cardinals
58.5%
41.5%
-260
+225
-250
+225
-6-108
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
44
21
-0.35489-0.35820-0.53674
Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington Commanders
36.5%
63.5%
+140
-150
+140
-150
+3-105
-3-108
+3-110
-3-110
22
28
-0.52736-0.52736-0.45347
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
75.8%
24.2%
-290
+280
-305
+280
-7-110
+7-108
-7-110
+7-105
20
20
-0.82235-0.82540-0.84835
Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions
59.5%
40.5%
-250
+215
-242
+210
-6-108
+6-108
-6-110
+6-110
38
35
-0.36772-0.37561-0.51887
San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears
67.4%
32.6%
-260
+235
-262
+245
-6½-102
+6½-108
-6½-110
+6½-110
10
19
-1.22946-1.25187-1.11966
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
29.1%
70.9%
+265
-315
+270
-300
+7-108
-7-110
+7-110
-7-110
23
20
-1.32720-1.32840-1.23553
Cleveland Browns
Carolina Panthers
51.5%
48.5%
+110
-125
+110
-125
+1½-105
-1½-108
+2-110
-1½-110
26
24
-0.77319-0.77319-0.66400
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
40.8%
59.2%
+150
-160
+150
-160
+3+102
-3-114
+3+100
-3-110
7
20
-0.50078-0.50078-0.52359
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
66.6%
33.4%
-225
+205
-230
+205
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5½-110
+5½-110
27
26
-0.38769-0.38554-0.40675
Baltimore Ravens
New York Jets
68.8%
31.2%
-285
+255
-290
+270
-6½-108
+6½-105
-7-101
+7-119
24
9
-0.32247-0.31004-0.37349
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams
46.9%
53.1%
-127
+115
-125
+115
-2-108
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
31
10
-0.60506-0.60825-0.75711
Los Angeles Rams
Cincinnati Bengals
64.3%
35.7%
-205
+190
-195
+185
-4½-105
+4½-109
-4½-105
+4½-105
23
20
-0.41412-0.42580-0.44133
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
36.0%
64.0%
+165
-175
+170
-173
+3½-109
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½+100
17
20
-0.46561-0.46024-0.44685
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
27.4%
72.6%
+280
-320
+280
-310
+7-104
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-105
27
24
-1.35973-1.35406-1.29441
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
39.7%
60.3%
+125
-135
+120
-130
+2½+105
-2½-109
+2½-110
-2-110
36
42
-0.57304-0.59012-0.50579
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.