NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.1%
88.9%
+430
-525
+435
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.8
31.3
45.1
o48½-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
38.9%
61.1%
+170
-190
+175
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
20.4
23.7
44.1
o37-108
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
37.8%
62.2%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.3
24.6
45.9
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
74.2%
25.8%
-430
+360
-450
+400
-10½+105
+10½-110
-10-110
+10½-110
31
0
-0.23739-0.21869-0.29835
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
74.5%
25.5%
-500
+430
-515
+425
-11-105
+12-115
-10½-110
+11-110
30
17
-0.20410-0.20495-0.29492
Arizona Cardinals
Chicago Bears
73.1%
26.9%
-360
+310
-350
+310
-7½-114
+7½-102
-7½-110
+8-110
33
22
-0.27128-0.27275-0.31375
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
77.2%
22.8%
-305
+260
-310
+270
-7½+110
+7-109
-7-110
+7-105
27
29
-1.31134-1.33435-1.47968
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints
52.0%
48.0%
-265
+245
-270
+250
-7+117
+6½-104
-6½-110
+6½-101
27
17
-0.33593-0.33041-0.65421
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Commanders
50.9%
49.1%
-127
+110
-126
+115
-1½-107
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-110
15
17
-0.77699-0.78785-0.71158
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
37.5%
62.5%
+140
-155
+141
-155
+3-110
-3-106
+3-110
-3+100
10
16
-0.52206-0.52037-0.47053
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
58.7%
41.3%
-125
+108
-118
+110
-1½-110
+0+105
-1½-110
+2-110
28
36
-0.76804-0.75927-0.88382
Minnesota Vikings
San Francisco 49ers
40.7%
59.3%
+175
-190
+176
-190
+4½-110
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
26
34
-0.44150-0.44020-0.52197
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
45.4%
54.6%
-150
+135
-145
+130
-2½-115
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-115
13
28
-0.87962-0.85918-0.60598
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
41.2%
58.8%
+158
-174
+160
-170
+3½-115
-3½-102
+3½-110
-3½-105
10
41
-0.47646-0.47678-0.53156
Carolina Panthers
Miami Dolphins
45.1%
54.9%
-117
+100
-120
+106
+0-117
+0+101
-1½-110
+1½-110
10
33
-0.73158-0.75313-0.60004
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars
51.4%
48.6%
-119
+105
-120
+110
-1½-104
+0+105
-1½-110
+1½-110
21
14
-0.64065-0.62755-0.66518
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts
60.0%
40.0%
-149
+135
-140
+135
-3-104
+3-114
-2½-110
+3-115
38
31
-0.53715-0.54782-0.50999
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
55.0%
45.0%
-195
+173
-190
+175
-4-106
+4-110
-4-105
+4-110
7
13
-1.03125-1.03022-0.79760
New York Jets
Houston Texans
43.5%
56.5%
+128
-140
+130
-143
+3-120
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
21
14
-0.84586-0.85590-0.83289
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.