Porto at Moreirense

Updated

Porto

56.7%24.0%19.3%
Porto WinDrawWin
1.69Projected Goals 0.88
3Final Score 0

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Estrela-710
T 1-1 at Famalicao-255
W 0-2 vs Casa Pia AC-500
L 1-4 at Benfica+295
W 0-4 vs Estoril-800
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Nacional+145
W 1-2 vs Sporting CP+900
L 2-3 at Rio Ave+160
W 2-3 vs Gil Vicente FC+130
L 0-1 at Vitoria+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-205-210-220-227-222-227-210-180.9
Moreirense+525+628+600+600+617+600+628+654.6
Draw+320+343+320+315+333+315+343+347.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-205-----205-205-180.9
Moreirense+575----+575+575+654.6
Draw+335----+335+335+347.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -210 to -220
Moreirense ML moved from +610 to +600

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-110o2½-108o2½-111o2½-110o2½-111o2½-108o2½-101
Underu2½-120u2½-107u2½-112u2½-109u2½-110u2½-109u2½-107u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.65%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.92%
Exactly 63.06%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.66%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.15%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 018.38%
Exactly 131.13%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 314.89%
Exactly 46.31%
Exactly 52.14%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 041.62%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.99%
Exactly 34.67%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.42%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 045.64%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 214.04%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 066.64%
Exactly 127.05%
Exactly 25.49%
Exactly 30.74%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals31.39%
Wins by 3+ goals13.87%
Wins by 4+ goals5.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.50%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals6.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Porto
Wins by 1 goal25.28%
Wins by 2 goals17.52%
Wins by 3 goals8.87%
Wins by 4 goals3.51%
Wins by 5 goals1.13%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal13.08%
Wins by 2 goals4.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.35%7.65%
1.572.69%27.31%
2.547.41%52.59%
3.525.76%74.24%
4.511.84%88.16%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.62%18.38%
1.550.49%49.51%
2.524.12%75.88%
3.59.23%90.77%
4.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.38%41.62%
1.521.89%78.11%
2.55.91%94.09%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.58%30.42%
1.533.38%66.62%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Moreirense
Score01234
0
7.65%
6.71%
2.94%
0.86%
0.19%
1
12.96%
11.36%
4.98%
1.45%
0.32%
2
10.98%
9.62%
4.22%
1.23%
0.27%
3
6.20%
5.43%
2.38%
0.70%
0.15%
4
2.62%
2.30%
1.01%
0.29%
0.06%
5
0.89%
0.78%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
Porto
1-012.96%
2-010.98%
2-19.62%
3-06.20%
3-15.43%
3-22.38%
4-02.62%
4-12.30%
4-21.01%
4-30.29%
5-00.89%
5-10.78%
5-20.34%
Draw
0-07.65%
1-111.36%
2-24.22%
3-30.70%
Moreirense
0-16.71%
0-22.94%
1-24.98%
0-30.86%
1-31.45%
2-31.23%
0-40.19%
1-40.32%
2-40.27%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Moreirense
Score0123
0
30.42%
12.35%
2.51%
0.34%
1
23.86%
9.68%
1.96%
0.27%
2
9.36%
3.80%
0.77%
0.10%
3
2.45%
0.99%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.48%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Porto
1-023.86%
2-09.36%
2-13.80%
3-02.45%
3-10.99%
3-20.20%
4-00.48%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-030.42%
1-19.68%
2-20.77%
Moreirense
0-112.35%
0-22.51%
1-21.96%
0-30.34%
1-30.27%
2-30.10%