Arouca at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Arouca

27.6%28.4%44.0%
Arouca WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.28
1Final Score 3

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara+240
L 1-2 at Estrela+180
L 2-0 vs Benfica+1200
T 0-0 at Famalicao+260
L 2-1 vs Braga+375
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
W 2-0 at Estoril+190
T 1-1 vs AVS-120
L 0-2 at Porto+1350
T 1-1 vs SC Farense-125
T 2-2 at Rio Ave+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+230+250+240+230+247+230+250+255.9
Casa Pia AC+130+140+135+142+133+142+142+161.0
Draw+200+196+185+176+192+176+196+197.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+235----+215+215+255.9
Casa Pia AC+130----+150+150+161.0
Draw+215----+200+200+197.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +258 to +250
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +142 to +131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-115o2-108o2+100o2-107o2+100o2+100o2+109
Underu2¼-108u2-102u2-112u2-120u2-113u2-120u2-102u2-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+109
Under-----u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.77%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.07%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.00%
Exactly 319.86%
Exactly 54.93%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 038.71%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.44%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 027.83%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.64%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 064.44%
Exactly 128.32%
Exactly 26.22%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 055.31%
Exactly 132.76%
Exactly 29.70%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals9.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals19.97%
Wins by 3+ goals7.00%
Wins by 4+ goals1.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal17.82%
Wins by 2 goals7.14%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal24.02%
Wins by 2 goals12.96%
Wins by 3 goals5.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.23%10.77%
1.565.23%34.77%
2.538.49%61.51%
3.518.62%81.38%
4.57.56%92.44%
5.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.29%38.71%
1.524.56%75.44%
2.57.12%92.88%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.17%27.83%
1.536.58%63.42%
2.513.81%86.19%
3.54.10%95.90%
4.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.36%35.64%
1.527.59%72.41%
2.58.62%91.38%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
10.77%
13.78%
8.81%
3.76%
1.20%
0.31%
1
10.22%
13.08%
8.36%
3.57%
1.14%
0.29%
2
4.85%
6.21%
3.97%
1.69%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.54%
1.96%
1.26%
0.54%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.47%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-010.22%
2-04.85%
2-16.21%
3-01.54%
3-11.96%
3-21.26%
4-00.36%
4-10.47%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.77%
1-113.08%
2-23.97%
3-30.54%
Casa Pia AC
0-113.78%
0-28.81%
1-28.36%
0-33.76%
1-33.57%
2-31.69%
0-41.20%
1-41.14%
2-40.54%
3-40.17%
0-50.31%
1-50.29%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
35.64%
21.11%
6.25%
1.23%
0.18%
1
15.66%
9.28%
2.75%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.44%
2.04%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-015.66%
2-03.44%
2-12.04%
3-00.50%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.64%
1-19.28%
2-20.60%
Casa Pia AC
0-121.11%
0-26.25%
1-22.75%
0-31.23%
1-30.54%
2-30.12%
0-40.18%
Benfica at Nacional
SC Farense at Famalicão