Arouca at Paços

Updated

Arouca

18.3%24.2%57.4%
WinDrawPaços Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.66
1Final Score 1

Pacos

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+205
L 2-1 vs Boavista+175
T 0-0 at Casa Pia AC+330
L 6-0 vs Braga+550
W 2-1 at Santa Clara+290
Pacos
Money Line
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+390
L 3-2 vs Casa Pia AC+210
L 0-1 at Boavista+345
L 2-3 at Benfica+3600
L 3-0 vs Estoril+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+223+189+185+166+178+169+189+195.5
Paços+135+160+155+155+155+152+160+178.7
Draw+227+223+210+220+224+220+224+230.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+245----+195+195+195.5
Paços+130----+150+150+178.7
Draw+205----+220+220+230.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +197 to +189
Paços ML moved from +152 to +143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +230 to +200
No Steam Moves On Paços ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½+120o2¼-105o2¼-107-o2¼-107o2¼-105o2-135
Underu2½-142u2½-142u2¼-115u2¼-113-u2¼-113u2½-142u2+135
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-135
Under-----u2+135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.35%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 413.22%
Exactly 62.72%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.74%
Exactly 321.30%
Exactly 56.56%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 044.09%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.78%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 018.95%
Exactly 131.52%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 314.54%
Exactly 46.05%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.68%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.45%
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 24.92%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 046.29%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.73%
Exactly 33.53%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals5.59%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals31.64%
Wins by 3+ goals13.86%
Wins by 4+ goals4.94%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Pacos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal12.69%
Wins by 2 goals4.31%
Wins by 3 goals1.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals17.79%
Wins by 3 goals8.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.48%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.65%8.35%
1.570.91%29.09%
2.545.17%54.83%
3.523.87%76.13%
4.510.65%89.35%
5.54.09%95.91%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.91%44.09%
1.519.80%80.20%
2.55.02%94.98%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.05%18.95%
1.549.54%50.46%
2.523.32%76.68%
3.58.78%91.22%
4.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.32%31.68%
1.531.90%68.10%
2.510.97%89.03%
3.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Pacos
Score012345
0
8.35%
13.90%
11.56%
6.41%
2.67%
0.89%
1
6.84%
11.38%
9.47%
5.25%
2.18%
0.73%
2
2.80%
4.66%
3.88%
2.15%
0.89%
0.30%
3
0.76%
1.27%
1.06%
0.59%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.16%
0.26%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Arouca
1-06.84%
2-02.80%
2-14.66%
3-00.76%
3-11.27%
3-21.06%
4-00.16%
4-10.26%
4-20.22%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.35%
1-111.38%
2-23.88%
3-30.59%
Pacos
0-113.90%
0-211.56%
1-29.47%
0-36.41%
1-35.25%
2-32.15%
0-42.67%
1-42.18%
2-40.89%
3-40.24%
0-50.89%
1-50.73%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Pacos
Score01234
0
31.68%
24.40%
9.40%
2.41%
0.46%
1
12.01%
9.25%
3.56%
0.91%
0.18%
2
2.28%
1.75%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.29%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-012.01%
2-02.28%
2-11.75%
3-00.29%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-031.68%
1-19.25%
2-20.68%
Pacos
0-124.40%
0-29.40%
1-23.56%
0-32.41%
1-30.91%
2-30.17%
0-40.46%
1-40.18%
Santa Clara at Rio Ave
Boavista at Famalicão