Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/10/2024 06:00 PM	Chaves Moreirense	16.6% 60.6%	22.8%	+374 -110 +380 -125	0 1	-0.67262-0.63618	-0.50025
02/10/2024 03:30 PM	Famalicao SC Farense	29.7% 42.3%	27.9%	+161 +200 +160 +190	1 1	-1.17416-1.18215	-1.27561
02/09/2024 08:15 PM	Portimonense Estrela	26.4% 45.1%	28.5%	+297 +100 +295 -105	0 3	-0.73085-0.71808	-0.79587
02/05/2024 08:15 PM	Boavista Casa Pia AC	27.1% 45.5%	27.4%	+292 +110 +275 +105	0 0	-1.26549-1.27122	-1.29448
02/04/2024 08:30 PM	Moreirense Braga	9.7% 73.6%	16.7%	+585 -204 +610 -225	0 1	-0.43507-0.41703	-0.30697
02/04/2024 06:00 PM	Gil Vicente FC Benfica	4.0% 86.0%	9.9%	+1560 -620 +1600 -725	0 3	-0.18455-0.17678	-0.15069
02/04/2024 06:00 PM	Estrela Estoril	24.5% 48.3%	27.2%	+291 -105 +290 -105	0 1	-0.70725-0.71812	-0.72703
02/04/2024 03:30 PM	SC Farense Chaves	30.7% 39.8%	29.4%	+221 +139 +205 +135	1 1	-1.23701-1.25956	-1.22441
02/04/2024 03:30 PM	Vitoria FC Vizela	38.4% 32.5%	29.1%	-110 +331 -110 +300	1 0	-0.67382-0.69693	-0.95779
02/03/2024 08:30 PM	Rio Ave Porto	6.1% 80.2%	13.8%	+1375 -433 +1350 -500	0 0	-1.91828-1.95878	-1.98319
02/03/2024 03:30 PM	Arouca Portimonense	33.6% 35.0%	31.4%	+106 +285 +100 +275	2 1	-0.74541-0.74036	-1.09181
01/31/2024 08:45 PM	Chaves Braga	5.8% 81.9%	12.3%	+792 -294 +850 -330	1 1	-1.78094-1.77278	-2.09289
01/31/2024 06:45 PM	Estoril Rio Ave	20.8% 52.9%	26.3%	+246 +123 +235 +125	1 1	-1.25485-1.22806	-1.33484
01/29/2024 08:45 PM	Casa Pia AC Sporting CP	4.7% 84.2%	11.2%	+1908 -621 +1600 -630	0 8	-0.18478-0.19773	-0.17218
01/29/2024 06:45 PM	Benfica Estrela	77.7% 7.7%	14.6%	-376 +995 -415 +1050	4 1	-0.27502-0.26493	-0.25193
01/28/2024 08:30 PM	FC Vizela Arouca	24.3% 48.5%	27.2%	+350 -116 +340 -120	0 5	-0.64386-0.65541	-0.72427

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).