Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1307
-490
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Rio Ave		56.2%
19.5%		24.3%
-171
+494
-180
+510
3
2		-0.49451-0.49127-0.57600
Boavista
Arouca		39.4%
32.1%		28.5%
+180
+175
+175
+175
2
1		-1.08338-1.06528-0.93158
Gil Vicente FC
Maritimo		36.0%
33.1%		30.9%
+171
+178
+170
+170
2
1		-1.03547-1.04512-1.02260
Casa Pia AC
Pacos		21.6%
52.6%		25.8%
+153
+213
+150
+210
3
2		-0.96485-0.96551-1.53331
Chaves
Porto		3.4%
87.5%		9.1%
+1337
-430
+1600
-600
0
3		-0.24100-0.20226-0.13386
Portimonense
Sporting CP		5.5%
81.1%		13.3%
+841
-298
+800
-325
0
4		-0.32681-0.31680-0.20903
Benfica
Famalicao		68.1%
13.4%		18.5%
-230
+670
-240
+650
1
0		-0.39771-0.39899-0.38446
Santa Clara
Vitoria		16.9%
60.7%		22.5%
+301
+108
+300
+100
0
1		-0.75976-0.74482-0.49989
Rio Ave
Chaves		27.3%
44.0%		28.7%
+222
+154
+230
+135
1
1		-1.16229-1.18130-1.24716
Pacos
Boavista		23.3%
49.9%		26.8%
+315
-105
+345
-110
0
1		-0.71523-0.69689-0.69531
Famalicao
Portimonense		27.1%
45.4%		27.5%
+202
+150
+195
+150
0
1		-0.94636-0.96648-0.78977
Maritimo
Santa Clara		19.9%
54.5%		25.6%
+293
+115
+310
+100
1
2		-0.78250-0.74345-0.60680
Arouca
Casa Pia AC		21.4%
54.1%		24.5%
+330
+100
+330
-105
0
0		-1.22462-1.22977-1.40756
Porto
Gil Vicente FC		68.2%
12.3%		19.5%
-337
+1009
-340
+950
2
0		-0.29597-0.30961-0.38328
Vitoria
Braga		16.8%
61.7%		21.5%
+756
-254
+775
-275
0
1		-0.36768-0.36057-0.48363
Sporting CP
Estoril		70.0%
11.1%		18.9%
-222
+645

2
0		-0.40986-0.35690
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).