Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1307
-490
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-117
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Vizela
Benfica		4.2%
86.1%		9.6%
+1330
-498

1
2		-0.22227-0.14917
Pacos
Benfica		4.8%
84.1%		11.1%
+2978
-1191
+3600
-1400
2
3		-0.11657-0.11900-0.17328
Gil Vicente FC
FC Vizela		35.0%
35.8%		29.1%
+207
+145
+210
+135
2
2		-1.23874-1.24382-1.23309
Casa Pia AC
Vitoria		12.0%
68.8%		19.1%
+256
+135
+270
+115
1
0		-1.28471-1.35985-2.11785
Porto
Rio Ave		75.2%
8.4%		16.4%
-312
+1014
-315
+950
1
3		-2.44911-2.40053-2.48207
Braga
Arouca		67.0%
13.7%		19.3%
-190
+574
-200
+550
6
0		-0.45320-0.45463-0.39999
Santa Clara
Famalicao		25.2%
49.0%		25.8%
+278
+111
+260
+115
0
1		-0.78215-0.81482-0.71327
Chaves
Sporting CP		4.2%
85.3%		10.5%
+1487
-508
+1500
-550
2
0		-2.80297-2.82279-3.17558
Benfica
Boavista		67.6%
13.0%		19.4%
-260
+711
-320
+875
3
0		-0.37188-0.32040-0.39147
Portimonense
Maritimo		31.4%
37.2%		31.5%
+159
+200
+155
+190
1
0		-0.97207-0.98438-1.15954
Estoril
Pacos		25.3%
47.0%		27.7%
+200
+157
+185
+165
3
0		-1.13775-1.09688-1.37587
Famalicao
Gil Vicente FC		23.3%
51.4%		25.3%
+237
+122
+245
+115
0
0		-1.27475-1.27168-1.37531
Vitoria
Portimonense		36.6%
33.3%		30.1%
+208
+149
+185
+160
1
2		-0.94660-1.00709-1.10109
Maritimo
Braga		7.6%
77.4%		15.1%
+1000
-355
+1000
-380
0
5		-0.28342-0.28169-0.25683
Boavista
Casa Pia AC		33.2%
37.2%		29.7%
+210
+155
+195
+160
0
2		-0.97474-1.00570-0.99002
Sporting CP
Porto		21.7%
53.6%		24.7%
+300
+105
+300
-105
0
3		-0.74108-0.71980-0.62390
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).