Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1307
-490
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-117
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Vizela
Chaves		27.3%
45.9%		26.7%
+205
+166
+215
+140
1
1		-1.18797-1.19773-1.31882
Arouca
Santa Clara		15.5%
63.1%		21.4%
+307
+105
+290
+105
2
1		-1.43431-1.41157-1.86285
Rio Ave
Estoril		24.3%
47.3%		28.4%
+278
+114
+260
+115
2
2		-1.22820-1.22799-1.25998
Portimonense
Pacos		27.9%
42.7%		29.4%
+194
+170
+195
+155
3
0		-1.10115-1.12927-1.27783
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		44.2%
28.2%		27.5%
+155
+192
+150
+185
0
1		-1.10854-1.09982-1.26500
Chaves
Maritimo		26.2%
45.5%		28.3%
+266
+116
+260
+110
2
1		-1.32735-1.33207-1.33995
Estoril
Vitoria		14.6%
63.8%		21.6%
+282
+111
+310
+100
0
1		-0.78382-0.74345-0.44923
Porto
FC Vizela		77.4%
8.0%		14.6%
-283
+828
-330
+850
1
0		-0.33395-0.31319-0.25580
Santa Clara
Boavista		25.8%
46.6%		27.6%
+224
+150
+215
+150
1
2		-0.96391-0.96582-0.76398
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		4.6%
83.6%		11.9%
+1281
-442
+1500
-500
0
3		-0.24330-0.23081-0.17963
Benfica
Casa Pia AC		75.1%
9.1%		15.9%
-330
+1093
-400
+1150
1
0		-0.29225-0.27423-0.28695
Braga
Famalicao		50.7%
24.7%		24.5%
+110
+317
-105
+280
3
0		-0.72373-0.72081-0.67865
Pacos
Gil Vicente FC		20.0%
54.6%		25.3%
+307
+106
+310
-105
0
1		-0.74347-0.71803-0.60475
Vitoria
Chaves		45.0%
27.7%		27.3%
+183
+168
+180
+165
1
0		-1.07946-1.08028-0.79957
Boavista
Portimonense		25.9%
45.3%		28.8%
+225
+135
+245
+125
1
0		-1.21787-1.28880-1.35127
Sporting CP
Braga		41.7%
30.9%		27.5%
-105
+316
-110
+305
3
3		-1.31085-1.31800-1.29240
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).