Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1307
-490
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-117
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Casa Pia AC
Santa Clara		19.4%
56.3%		24.3%
+269
+121
+260
+115
0
0		-1.19412-1.22799-1.41325
Maritimo
Porto		3.5%
86.9%		9.7%
+1750
-565
+1550
-600
1
5		-0.19261-0.20397-0.14079
Famalicao
Estoril		30.3%
41.9%		27.9%
+198
+175
+195
+160
0
2		-1.03313-1.00570-0.87048
FC Vizela
Rio Ave		25.5%
47.4%		27.0%
+279
+140
+220
+135
1
0		-1.32051-1.21244-1.36461
Arouca
Benfica		3.2%
88.9%		7.9%
+2038
-675
+1750
-700
0
4		-0.17678-0.18617-0.11749
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria		31.2%
40.2%		28.6%
+170
+160
+165
+150
0
5		-0.98046-0.96635-0.91215
Braga
Famalicao		50.4%
24.9%		24.7%
+124
+222
+125
+205
2
3		-1.19627-1.16402-1.39082
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		5.3%
82.5%		12.2%
+977
-345
+950
-360
0
4		-0.28303-0.29558-0.19202
Estoril
Porto		3.9%
85.9%		10.1%
+2009
-732
+1600
-625
0
2		-0.16324-0.19713-0.15144
Portimonense
Maritimo		33.2%
35.0%		31.7%
+207
+137
+230
+120
1
0		-1.14907-1.24434-1.10166
FC Vizela
Moreirense		29.0%
43.7%		27.3%
+322
-109
+320
-115
1
4		-0.67863-0.67523-0.82794
Boavista
Tondela		38.8%
32.3%		28.9%
+397
-133
+400
-140
2
2		-1.38127-1.37054-1.24091
Belenenses
Arouca		24.5%
48.1%		27.4%
+220
+115
+220
+120
0
0		-1.32663-1.31453-1.29408
Benfica
Pacos		68.1%
12.7%		19.2%
-110
+299
-115
+285
2
0		-0.67325-0.67865-0.38390
Famalicao
Belenenses		42.2%
29.3%		28.5%
+185
+172
+200
+145
3
2		-1.07321-1.15119-0.86192
Pacos
Santa Clara		26.4%
45.9%		27.6%
+370
-122
+355
-130
0
2		-0.62381-0.62092-0.77792
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).