Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1307
-490
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+107

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arouca
Braga		5.6%
82.8%		11.6%
+464
-145
+450
-165
0
1		-0.54784-0.52101-0.18896
Maritimo
FC Vizela		24.1%
49.5%		26.5%
+396
-133
+340
-120
1
1		-1.39328-1.33018-1.32988
Tondela
Gil Vicente FC		11.3%
69.8%		18.9%
+364
-121
+345
-125
0
3		-0.62293-0.63709-0.35962
Sporting CP
Portimonense		63.0%
14.6%		22.4%
-267
+702
-300
+800
3
2		-0.34781-0.33798-0.46254
Porto
Benfica		31.0%
42.1%		26.9%
+141
+199
+135
+195
1
0		-0.90567-0.90342-1.17154
Moreirense
Estoril		23.1%
50.2%		26.7%
+232
+135
+230
+125
0
1		-0.88022-0.86022-0.68838
Vitoria
Boavista		27.8%
44.5%		27.7%
+132
+251
+120
+225
1
1		-1.20631-1.28913-1.28468
Tondela
Pacos		16.1%
61.8%		22.2%
+150
+223
+135
+220
1
1		-1.19581-1.21244-1.50666
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		7.7%
76.9%		15.4%
+727
-252
+760
-290
1
4		-0.35598-0.34540-0.26256
Boavista
Moreirense		32.5%
37.7%		29.7%
+231
+141
+220
+140
2
1		-1.22608-1.21362-1.12338
Santa Clara
Vitoria		23.3%
51.0%		25.7%
+394
-127
+410
-135
1
1		-1.34792-1.31789-1.35759
Braga
Belenenses		66.6%
12.9%		20.5%
-110
+345
-115
+335
1
0		-0.67641-0.67495-0.40714
FC Vizela
Porto		3.8%
87.1%		9.1%
+1882
-595
+1550
-600
2
4		-0.18567-0.20397-0.13816
Benfica
Maritimo		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-163
+455
-165
+460
1
0		-0.50988-0.52373-0.31637
Portimonense
Arouca		43.6%
28.2%		28.2%
+344
-112
+300
-105
0
1		-0.67193-0.71980-1.26606
Estoril
Famalicao		22.5%
52.5%		25.0%
+457
-140
+400
-145
1
3		-0.55490-0.57481-0.64373
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).