Loko Moscow at Samara

Updated

Loko Moscow

35.5%29.5%35.0%
Loko Moscow WinDrawSamara Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.07
3Final Score 3

Samara

Last 5 Games

Loko Moscow
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Akhmat Grozny
T 1-1 vs Spartak Moscow
L 0-1 at Rostov
T 0-0 vs Dynamo Mosc
T 2-2 at Ural
Samara
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Ural
L 1-2 at Krasnodar
T 1-1 vs Orenburg
L 1-3 at Zenit
L 0-2 at Nizhny Novgorod

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
7.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Loko Moscow+170--+156-+156+156+176.4
Samara+135--+148-+148+148+167.7
Draw+250--+250-+250+250+277.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Loko Moscow-----+176.4
Samara-----+167.7
Draw-----+277.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Loko Moscow: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Loko Moscow: 20.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Loko Moscow: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Loko Moscow ML moved from +163 to +156
Samara ML moved from +148 to +142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110--o2¾-110-o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾+100
Underu2¾-110--u2¾-110-u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+100
Under-----u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.60%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 410.41%
Exactly 61.61%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 124.99%
Exactly 319.32%
Exactly 54.48%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Loko Moscow
Exactly 033.88%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 034.25%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.89%
Exactly 218.34%
Exactly 41.52%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Loko Moscow
Exactly 060.58%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 27.61%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 060.89%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Loko Moscow
Wins by 2+ goals14.04%
Wins by 3+ goals4.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals13.71%
Wins by 3+ goals4.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Loko Moscow
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Loko Moscow
Wins by 1 goal21.39%
Wins by 2 goals9.83%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal21.18%
Wins by 2 goals9.64%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.40%11.60%
1.563.41%36.59%
2.536.49%63.51%
3.517.17%82.83%
4.56.76%93.24%
5.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Loko Moscow Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.12%33.88%
1.529.45%70.55%
2.59.61%90.39%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.75%34.25%
1.529.05%70.95%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.11%36.89%
1.526.32%73.68%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Loko Moscow
Samara
Score012345
0
11.60%
12.43%
6.66%
2.38%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.56%
13.46%
7.21%
2.58%
0.69%
0.15%
2
6.80%
7.28%
3.90%
1.39%
0.37%
0.08%
3
2.45%
2.63%
1.41%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.66%
0.71%
0.38%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Loko Moscow
1-012.56%
2-06.80%
2-17.28%
3-02.45%
3-12.63%
3-21.41%
4-00.66%
4-10.71%
4-20.38%
4-30.14%
5-00.14%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-011.60%
1-113.46%
2-23.90%
3-30.50%
Samara
0-112.43%
0-26.66%
1-27.21%
0-32.38%
1-32.58%
2-31.39%
0-40.64%
1-40.69%
2-40.37%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Loko Moscow
Samara
Score0123
0
36.89%
18.30%
4.54%
0.75%
1
18.49%
9.17%
2.28%
0.38%
2
4.63%
2.30%
0.57%
0.09%
3
0.77%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
Loko Moscow
1-018.49%
2-04.63%
2-12.30%
3-00.77%
3-10.38%
Draw
0-036.89%
1-19.17%
2-20.57%
Samara
0-118.30%
0-24.54%
1-22.28%
0-30.75%
1-30.38%