Sevilla at Real Madrid

Updated

Sevilla

6.2%13.0%80.8%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.65
2Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo+160
L 3-4 at Atletico Madrid+865
T 1-1 vs Osasuna+100
W 0-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+105
L 0-1 at Leganes+180
Real Madrid
Money Line
T 3-3 at Rayo Vallecano-180
W 3-0 at Girona-120
L 1-2 at Athletic Club+125
W 0-2 vs Getafe-300
W 3-0 at Leganes-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+625+957+875+1075+900+1075+1075+1116.0
Real Madrid-280-382-385-390-406-390-382-333.1
Draw+460+553+550+550+556+550+556+572.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+644-+1000--+1000+1000+1116.0
Real Madrid-295--410---400-400-333.1
Draw+465-+555--+525+555+572.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +920 to +900
Real Madrid ML moved from -380 to -390

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sevilla ML
Real Madrid ML moved from -385 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o3½+101o3½+100o3½+103o3½-102o3½+103o3½+103o3½+112
Underu3+102u3½-118u3½-120u3½-123u3½-118u3½-123u3½-118u3½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½+100o3½+100-o3-140o3-140o3-140o3½+112
Underu3+105u3½-120u3½-120-u3+110u3+120u3½-120u3½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-106
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.88%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 418.02%
Exactly 66.35%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.60%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.72%
Exactly 72.95%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 054.71%
Exactly 133.00%
Exactly 29.95%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 07.09%
Exactly 118.76%
Exactly 224.83%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 414.49%
Exactly 57.67%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.21%
Exactly 225.14%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.42%
Exactly 312.61%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 075.64%
Exactly 121.12%
Exactly 22.95%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals1.38%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals59.81%
Wins by 3+ goals37.39%
Wins by 4+ goals19.79%
Wins by 5+ goals8.96%
Wins by 6+ goals3.51%
Wins by 7+ goals1.19%
Wins by 8+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal4.77%
Wins by 2 goals1.16%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.95%
Wins by 2 goals22.42%
Wins by 3 goals17.60%
Wins by 4 goals10.83%
Wins by 5 goals5.45%
Wins by 6 goals2.32%
Wins by 7 goals0.85%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.12%3.88%
1.583.52%16.48%
2.563.04%36.96%
3.540.86%59.14%
4.522.83%77.17%
5.511.12%88.88%
6.54.77%95.23%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.29%54.71%
1.512.29%87.71%
2.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.91%7.09%
1.574.15%25.85%
2.549.33%50.67%
3.527.42%72.58%
4.512.93%87.07%
5.55.26%94.74%
6.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.79%22.21%
1.544.38%55.62%
2.519.23%80.77%
3.56.62%93.38%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.88%
10.26%
13.58%
11.98%
7.93%
4.20%
1
2.34%
6.19%
8.19%
7.23%
4.78%
2.53%
2
0.71%
1.87%
2.47%
2.18%
1.44%
0.76%
3
0.14%
0.38%
0.50%
0.44%
0.29%
0.15%
Sevilla
1-02.34%
2-00.71%
2-11.87%
3-00.14%
3-10.38%
3-20.50%
Draw
0-03.88%
1-16.19%
2-22.47%
3-30.44%
Real Madrid
0-110.26%
0-213.58%
1-28.19%
0-311.98%
1-37.23%
2-32.18%
0-47.93%
1-44.78%
2-41.44%
3-40.29%
0-54.20%
1-52.53%
2-50.76%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
22.21%
27.22%
16.68%
6.81%
2.09%
0.51%
0.10%
1
6.20%
7.60%
4.66%
1.90%
0.58%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.87%
1.06%
0.65%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-06.20%
2-00.87%
2-11.06%
Draw
0-022.21%
1-17.60%
2-20.65%
Real Madrid
0-127.22%
0-216.68%
1-24.66%
0-36.81%
1-31.90%
2-30.27%
0-42.09%
1-40.58%
0-50.51%
1-50.14%
0-60.10%