Alaves at Valencia

Updated

Alaves

24.1%26.5%49.4%
Alaves WinDrawValencia Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.46
2Final Score 2

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+325
T 2-2 at Osasuna+265
T 1-1 vs Leganes-125
L 1-2 at Atletico Madrid+850
L 0-3 at Villarreal+525
Valencia
Money Line
T 1-1 at Espanyol+225
L 0-1 at Valladolid+145
L 1-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+125
L 1-2 at Mallorca+380
W 2-4 vs Betis+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+290+296+270+302+292+302+302+315.8
Valencia+113+113+115+115+108+115+115+122.4
Draw+219+214+220+212+214+212+220+222.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+254-+312-+240+295+312+315.8
Valencia+125-+110-+105+115+115+122.4
Draw+202-+200-+190+200+200+222.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +294 to +286
Valencia ML moved from +133 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Alaves ML
Valencia ML moved from +125 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-117o2-125o2-125o2-120o2-122o2-120o2-120o2-109
Underu2+100u2+106u2+105u2+100u2+100u2+100u2+106u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2+100o2-120-o2-105o2-125o2+100o2-109
Underu2-110u2-120u2+100-u2-125u2+105u2+105u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.10%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 412.51%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.81%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 56.00%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 039.28%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.15%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 023.17%
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 312.07%
Exactly 44.41%
Exactly 51.29%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.97%
Exactly 220.30%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 064.88%
Exactly 128.07%
Exactly 26.07%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 050.81%
Exactly 134.40%
Exactly 211.65%
Exactly 32.63%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals8.26%
Wins by 3+ goals2.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals24.60%
Wins by 3+ goals9.61%
Wins by 4+ goals3.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Valencia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal15.80%
Wins by 2 goals6.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal24.72%
Wins by 2 goals14.99%
Wins by 3 goals6.60%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.90%9.10%
1.569.09%30.91%
2.542.95%57.05%
3.522.06%77.94%
4.59.55%90.45%
5.53.55%96.45%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.72%39.28%
1.524.02%75.98%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.83%23.17%
1.542.95%57.05%
2.518.17%81.83%
3.56.10%93.90%
4.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.03%32.97%
1.530.45%69.55%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Valencia
Score012345
0
9.10%
13.31%
9.73%
4.74%
1.73%
0.51%
1
8.51%
12.44%
9.09%
4.43%
1.62%
0.47%
2
3.97%
5.81%
4.25%
2.07%
0.76%
0.22%
3
1.24%
1.81%
1.32%
0.65%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.29%
0.42%
0.31%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Alaves
1-08.51%
2-03.97%
2-15.81%
3-01.24%
3-11.81%
3-21.32%
4-00.29%
4-10.42%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.10%
1-112.44%
2-24.25%
3-30.65%
Valencia
0-113.31%
0-29.73%
1-29.09%
0-34.74%
1-34.43%
2-32.07%
0-41.73%
1-41.62%
2-40.76%
3-40.24%
0-50.51%
1-50.47%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Valencia
Score01234
0
32.97%
22.32%
7.55%
1.70%
0.29%
1
14.26%
9.66%
3.27%
0.74%
0.12%
2
3.09%
2.09%
0.71%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Alaves
1-014.26%
2-03.09%
2-12.09%
3-00.45%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.97%
1-19.66%
2-20.71%
Valencia
0-122.32%
0-27.55%
1-23.27%
0-31.70%
1-30.74%
2-30.16%
0-40.29%
1-40.12%