Valencia at Real Sociedad

Updated

Valencia

23.4%25.5%51.1%
Valencia WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.55
0Final Score 3

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Osasuna+105
W 0-2 vs Girona+145
L 0-3 at Atletico Madrid+1000
T 1-1 vs Villarreal+170
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+455
Real Sociedad
Money Line
T 0-0 at Valladolid+115
L 0-1 at Mallorca+190
L 2-0 vs Real Madrid+375
T 0-0 at Getafe+181
L 2-1 vs Alaves-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+440+398+390+420+392+420+420+438.1
Real Sociedad-131-114-125-115-113-115-113-107.0
Draw+248+226+240+225+226+225+240+236.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+352-+394-+335+380+394+438.1
Real Sociedad-115--120--130-115-115-107.0
Draw+231-+228-+200+225+228+236.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +430 to +420
Real Sociedad ML moved from -111 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +345 to +335
No Steam Moves On Real Sociedad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-114o2+100o2+102o2+104o2+105o2+104o2+105o2+113
Underu2-103u2-118u2-122u2-124u2-121u2-124u2-118u2-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+100o2+105o2+105-o2+100o2+105o2+105o2+113
Underu2-120u2-125u2-125-u2-130u2-125u2-125u2-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.11%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.38%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.76%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 038.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 021.21%
Exactly 132.89%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 313.18%
Exactly 45.11%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.26%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 064.10%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 048.77%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 212.57%
Exactly 33.01%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals8.12%
Wins by 3+ goals2.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals26.36%
Wins by 3+ goals10.75%
Wins by 4+ goals3.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal15.24%
Wins by 2 goals5.98%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal24.60%
Wins by 2 goals15.60%
Wins by 3 goals7.23%
Wins by 4 goals2.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.89%8.11%
1.571.51%28.49%
2.545.91%54.09%
3.524.49%75.51%
4.511.04%88.96%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.73%38.27%
1.524.97%75.03%
2.57.32%92.68%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.79%21.21%
1.545.91%54.09%
2.520.40%79.60%
3.57.22%92.78%
4.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.74%31.26%
1.532.39%67.61%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
8.11%
12.59%
9.76%
5.05%
1.96%
0.61%
1
7.79%
12.09%
9.37%
4.85%
1.88%
0.58%
2
3.74%
5.81%
4.50%
2.33%
0.90%
0.28%
3
1.20%
1.86%
1.44%
0.75%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.29%
0.45%
0.35%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Valencia
1-07.79%
2-03.74%
2-15.81%
3-01.20%
3-11.86%
3-21.44%
4-00.29%
4-10.45%
4-20.35%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.11%
1-112.09%
2-24.50%
3-30.75%
Real Sociedad
0-112.59%
0-29.76%
1-29.37%
0-35.05%
1-34.85%
2-32.33%
0-41.96%
1-41.88%
2-40.90%
3-40.29%
0-50.61%
1-50.58%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
31.26%
22.45%
8.06%
1.93%
0.35%
1
13.90%
9.98%
3.58%
0.86%
0.15%
2
3.09%
2.22%
0.80%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.46%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Valencia
1-013.90%
2-03.09%
2-12.22%
3-00.46%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.26%
1-19.98%
2-20.80%
Real Sociedad
0-122.45%
0-28.06%
1-23.58%
0-31.93%
1-30.86%
2-30.19%
0-40.35%
1-40.15%