Sevilla at Celta Vigo

Updated

Sevilla

37.9%28.9%33.3%
Sevilla WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
T 2-2 at Cadiz+115
T 1-1 vs Real Madrid+375
T 2-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-115
L 0-1 at Barcelona+825
W 1-5 vs Almeria-152
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Girona+382
L 3-0 vs Atletico Madrid+250
T 2-2 vs Getafe+100
L 1-2 at Las Palmas+165
T 1-1 vs Alaves-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+204+205+195+207+200+207+207+217.7
Celta Vigo+138+141+140+140+145+140+145+148.4
Draw+243+236+240+242+240+242+242+253.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+180-+205-+185+200+205+217.7
Celta Vigo+150-+135-+115+135+135+148.4
Draw+240-+235-+220+240+240+253.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +212 to +200
Celta Vigo ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +205 to +197
Celta Vigo ML moved from +135 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-104o2½-104o2½-102o2½+102o2½-102o2½+102o2½+102o2½+111
Underu2½-112u2½-114u2½-118u2½-122u2½-118u2½-122u2½-114u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-105o2½+100-o2½-120o2½+100o2½+100o2½+111
Underu2½-110u2½-115u2½-120-u2½-110u2½-120u2½-110u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.76%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.07%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.99%
Exactly 319.87%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 031.32%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.10%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.62%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 058.42%
Exactly 131.40%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 060.97%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals15.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals12.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal22.01%
Wins by 2 goals10.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal20.26%
Wins by 2 goals9.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.24%10.76%
1.565.25%34.75%
2.538.51%61.49%
3.518.64%81.36%
4.57.57%92.43%
5.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.68%31.32%
1.532.32%67.68%
2.511.21%88.79%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.38%35.62%
1.527.61%72.39%
2.58.63%91.37%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
10.76%
11.50%
6.14%
2.19%
0.58%
0.12%
1
12.49%
13.35%
7.13%
2.54%
0.68%
0.14%
2
7.25%
7.75%
4.14%
1.47%
0.39%
0.08%
3
2.81%
3.00%
1.60%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.81%
0.87%
0.46%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-012.49%
2-07.25%
2-17.75%
3-02.81%
3-13.00%
3-21.60%
4-00.81%
4-10.87%
4-20.46%
4-30.17%
5-00.19%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.76%
1-113.35%
2-24.14%
3-30.57%
Celta Vigo
0-111.50%
0-26.14%
1-27.13%
0-32.19%
1-32.54%
2-31.47%
0-40.58%
1-40.68%
2-40.39%
3-40.15%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
35.62%
17.62%
4.36%
0.72%
1
19.15%
9.47%
2.34%
0.39%
2
5.15%
2.55%
0.63%
0.10%
3
0.92%
0.46%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-019.15%
2-05.15%
2-12.55%
3-00.92%
3-10.46%
3-20.11%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-035.62%
1-19.47%
2-20.63%
Celta Vigo
0-117.62%
0-24.36%
1-22.34%
0-30.72%
1-30.39%
2-30.10%