Atletico Madrid at Valladolid

Updated

Atletico Madrid

53.4%25.7%20.9%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawValladolid Win
1.54Projected Goals 0.86
5Final Score 2

Valladolid

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Mallorca-290
L 0-1 at Barcelona+305
W 1-2 vs Almeria-500
W 2-1 at Rayo Vallecano-125
W 0-1 vs Betis-240
Valladolid
Money Line
L 1-2 at Valencia+390
W 0-1 vs Girona+145
W 2-1 at Villarreal+550
T 3-3 vs Mallorca+150
L 0-6 at Real Madrid+1245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-150-145-155-145-145-145-145-133.6
Valladolid+390+408+420+420+446+420+446+438.1
Draw+310+298+300+299+303+299+303+312.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-185----185-150-150-133.6
Valladolid+370---+360+400+400+438.1
Draw+280---+280+300+300+312.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -155 to -161
Valladolid ML moved from +420 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -160 to -170
Valladolid ML moved from +475 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-128o2¾+102o2¾-102o2½-123o2¾-102o2½-123o2¾+107
Underu2½+102u2½+108u2¾-122u2¾-118u2½+108u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-125--o2½-125o2½-125o2½-125o2¾+107
Underu2½+100u2½+105--u2½-105u2½+105u2½+105u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.04%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 412.57%
Exactly 62.42%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.72%
Exactly 320.92%
Exactly 56.04%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 021.35%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 313.10%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Valladolid
Exactly 042.33%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.64%
Exactly 34.48%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.86%
Exactly 220.35%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.55%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 048.93%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valladolid
Exactly 067.16%
Exactly 126.74%
Exactly 25.32%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals27.80%
Wins by 3+ goals11.39%
Wins by 4+ goals3.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.98%
Valladolid
Wins by 2+ goals6.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.51%
Wins by 2 goals16.40%
Wins by 3 goals7.65%
Wins by 4 goals2.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Valladolid
Wins by 1 goal14.20%
Wins by 2 goals5.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.96%9.04%
1.569.24%30.76%
2.543.13%56.87%
3.522.21%77.79%
4.59.63%90.37%
5.53.59%96.41%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.65%21.35%
1.545.68%54.32%
2.520.23%79.77%
3.57.13%92.87%
4.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Valladolid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.67%42.33%
1.521.28%78.72%
2.55.64%94.36%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.14%32.86%
1.530.57%69.43%
2.510.22%89.78%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
Score01234
0
9.04%
7.77%
3.34%
0.96%
0.21%
1
13.95%
12.00%
5.16%
1.48%
0.32%
2
10.77%
9.26%
3.98%
1.14%
0.25%
3
5.54%
4.77%
2.05%
0.59%
0.13%
4
2.14%
1.84%
0.79%
0.23%
0.05%
5
0.66%
0.57%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.95%
2-010.77%
2-19.26%
3-05.54%
3-14.77%
3-22.05%
4-02.14%
4-11.84%
4-20.79%
4-30.23%
5-00.66%
5-10.57%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-09.04%
1-112.00%
2-23.98%
3-30.59%
Valladolid
0-17.77%
0-23.34%
1-25.16%
0-30.96%
1-31.48%
2-31.14%
0-40.21%
1-40.32%
2-40.25%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
Score0123
0
32.86%
13.08%
2.60%
0.35%
1
23.49%
9.35%
1.86%
0.25%
2
8.40%
3.34%
0.67%
0.09%
3
2.00%
0.80%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.36%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-023.49%
2-08.40%
2-13.34%
3-02.00%
3-10.80%
3-20.16%
4-00.36%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.86%
1-19.35%
2-20.67%
Valladolid
0-113.08%
0-22.60%
1-21.86%
0-30.35%
1-30.25%