Almeria at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Almeria

8.8%17.0%74.1%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.23
1Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Valencia+215
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+550
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+100
L 1-2 at Sevilla+440
L 2-0 vs Villarreal+225
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 2-1 at Rayo Vallecano-125
W 0-1 vs Betis-240
W 0-3 vs Valencia-200
W 1-0 at Girona+100
W 1-6 vs Sevilla-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+975+1184+1000+1100+1315+1100+1315+1142.9
Atletico Madrid-349-445-460-425-439-425-425-357.9
Draw+490+586+600+600+616+600+616+625.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+1200----+1250+1250+1142.9
Atletico Madrid-425-----500-500-357.9
Draw+515----+600+600+625.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +1357 to +1315
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -452 to -473

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +1200 to +1150
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -465 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3½+115o3¼-112o3¼-113o3-142o3¼-113o3-142o3¼-103
Underu3-116u3½-135u3¼-108u3¼-107u3+127u3¼-107u3½-135u3¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½+115--o3-110o3½+115o3-110o3¼-103
Underu3-115u3½-135--u3-120u3½-135u3½-135u3¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3-143
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.75%
Exactly 223.46%
Exactly 415.93%
Exactly 64.33%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.43%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.10%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 053.60%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 210.42%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 010.74%
Exactly 123.96%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 411.09%
Exactly 54.95%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 70.59%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.66%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 074.92%
Exactly 121.63%
Exactly 23.12%
Exactly 30.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 035.59%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals2.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals49.96%
Wins by 3+ goals27.72%
Wins by 4+ goals12.80%
Wins by 5+ goals4.99%
Wins by 6+ goals1.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal6.73%
Wins by 2 goals1.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals22.24%
Wins by 3 goals14.92%
Wins by 4 goals7.81%
Wins by 5 goals3.33%
Wins by 6 goals1.20%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.25%5.75%
1.577.82%22.18%
2.554.36%45.64%
3.532.04%67.96%
4.516.10%83.90%
5.57.00%93.00%
6.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.40%53.60%
1.512.98%87.02%
2.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.26%10.74%
1.565.30%34.70%
2.538.57%61.43%
3.518.69%81.31%
4.57.59%92.41%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.34%26.66%
1.538.09%61.91%
2.514.80%85.20%
3.54.53%95.47%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
5.75%
12.84%
14.33%
10.66%
5.95%
2.65%
1
3.59%
8.01%
8.94%
6.65%
3.71%
1.65%
2
1.12%
2.50%
2.79%
2.07%
1.16%
0.52%
3
0.23%
0.52%
0.58%
0.43%
0.24%
0.11%
Almeria
1-03.59%
2-01.12%
2-12.50%
3-00.23%
3-10.52%
3-20.58%
Draw
0-05.75%
1-18.01%
2-22.79%
3-30.43%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.84%
0-214.33%
1-28.94%
0-310.66%
1-36.65%
2-32.07%
0-45.95%
1-43.71%
2-41.16%
3-40.24%
0-52.65%
1-51.65%
2-50.52%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
26.66%
27.55%
14.23%
4.90%
1.27%
0.26%
1
7.70%
7.95%
4.11%
1.42%
0.37%
0.08%
2
1.11%
1.15%
0.59%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Almeria
1-07.70%
2-01.11%
2-11.15%
3-00.11%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-026.66%
1-17.95%
2-20.59%
Atletico Madrid
0-127.55%
0-214.23%
1-24.11%
0-34.90%
1-31.42%
2-30.20%
0-41.27%
1-40.37%
0-50.26%