Valencia at Villarreal

Updated

Valencia

25.8%25.1%49.2%
Valencia WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Getafe-105
T 2-2 vs Real Madrid+475
T 0-0 vs Sevilla+127
L 0-2 at Las Palmas+210
W 1-2 vs Almeria-145
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-2 at Betis+260
W 1-5 vs Granada-150
W 3-1 at Real Sociedad+450
T 1-1 vs Getafe+100
T 1-1 at Alaves+238

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+255+236+225+240+244+240+244+251.9
Villarreal+105+124+120+123+121+123+124+130.8
Draw+260+238+240+242+242+242+242+254.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+265-+230-+235+230+235+251.9
Villarreal+105-+121--105+120+121+130.8
Draw+245-+237-+215+240+240+254.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +251 to +244
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +250 to +230
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-102o2½-102o2½-110o2½+103o2½-110o2½+103o2½+100
Underu2½-108u2½-116u2½-118u2½-110u2½-119u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½-105-o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2½-115-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-115u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.99%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 414.60%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.59%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 57.77%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 034.12%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 020.48%
Exactly 132.48%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 313.61%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.17%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 39.09%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 060.78%
Exactly 130.26%
Exactly 27.53%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 047.99%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.93%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals9.66%
Wins by 3+ goals2.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals25.53%
Wins by 3+ goals10.56%
Wins by 4+ goals3.56%
Wins by 5+ goals1.00%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal16.02%
Wins by 2 goals6.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals14.97%
Wins by 3 goals6.99%
Wins by 4 goals2.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.01%6.99%
1.574.42%25.58%
2.549.68%50.32%
3.527.74%72.26%
4.513.14%86.86%
5.55.37%94.63%
6.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.88%34.12%
1.529.20%70.80%
2.59.47%90.53%
3.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.52%20.48%
1.547.04%52.96%
2.521.30%78.70%
3.57.69%92.31%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.83%29.17%
1.534.89%65.11%
2.512.75%87.25%
3.53.66%96.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Villarreal
Score012345
0
6.99%
11.08%
8.78%
4.64%
1.84%
0.58%
1
7.51%
11.91%
9.45%
4.99%
1.98%
0.63%
2
4.04%
6.41%
5.08%
2.68%
1.06%
0.34%
3
1.45%
2.30%
1.82%
0.96%
0.38%
0.12%
4
0.39%
0.62%
0.49%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Valencia
1-07.51%
2-04.04%
2-16.41%
3-01.45%
3-12.30%
3-21.82%
4-00.39%
4-10.62%
4-20.49%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.99%
1-111.91%
2-25.08%
3-30.96%
4-40.10%
Villarreal
0-111.08%
0-28.78%
1-29.45%
0-34.64%
1-34.99%
2-32.68%
0-41.84%
1-41.98%
2-41.06%
3-40.38%
0-50.58%
1-50.63%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Villarreal
Score01234
0
29.17%
21.41%
7.86%
1.92%
0.35%
1
14.52%
10.66%
3.91%
0.96%
0.18%
2
3.62%
2.65%
0.97%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.60%
0.44%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Valencia
1-014.52%
2-03.62%
2-12.65%
3-00.60%
3-10.44%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.17%
1-110.66%
2-20.97%
Villarreal
0-121.41%
0-27.86%
1-23.91%
0-31.92%
1-30.96%
2-30.24%
0-40.35%
1-40.18%