Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Villarreal
Osasuna
35.4%
36.3%
28.3%
+175
+160
+165
+170
1.14
1.17
2.31
o2½-126
u2¾-121
o2½-120
u2½+110
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
17.4%
59.5%
23.1%
+239
+134
+225
+130
0.83
1.77
2.60
o2-125
u2¼-128
o2-130
u2+110
Real Madrid
Leganes
79.0%
6.7%
14.3%
-228
+765
-240
+750
2.47
0.57
3.04
o2½-117
u2½+104
o2½-115
u2½+105
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
19.0%
56.5%
24.5%
+271
+130
+265
+125
0.84
1.64
2.48
o2-109
u2-103
o2-115
u2-105
Games for Nov 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Valladolid
Getafe
19.7%
54.8%
25.5%
+600
-149
+550
-145
0
2
-0.53619-0.56777-0.60172
Barcelona
Real Sociedad
51.2%
23.6%
25.3%
-110
+312
-115
+320
0
1
-1.44176-1.46404-1.44528
Girona
Getafe
31.2%
39.0%
29.9%
+240
+154
+255
+150
1
0
-1.25023-1.29313-1.16555
Athletic Club
Valladolid
54.7%
20.5%
24.8%
-104
+350
-110
+370
1
1
-1.24956-1.24344-1.39320
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
54.1%
20.4%
25.5%
+142
+252
+140
+240
1
0
-0.91394-0.91864-0.61443
Celta Vigo
Betis
27.3%
46.8%
25.9%
+268
+119
+280
+100
2
2
-1.23546-1.30048-1.35008
Sevilla
Leganes
46.9%
25.0%
28.1%
+170
+212
+180
+196
0
1
-1.15642-1.12421-1.38533
Alaves
Villarreal
23.7%
50.8%
25.6%
+522
-169
+525
-180
0
3
-0.49720-0.48472-0.67788
Osasuna
Real Madrid
4.5%
84.9%
10.6%
+1150
-360
+1075
-415
0
4
-0.26261-0.26199-0.16413
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano
24.0%
49.4%
26.6%
+375
-113
+365
-115
3
1
-1.58777-1.57998-1.42537
Getafe
Celta Vigo
21.1%
53.2%
25.7%
+333
+113
+305
+115
0
1
-0.78301-0.79452-0.63087
Betis
Athletic Club
14.8%
64.3%
20.9%
+343
-110
+335
-115
1
1
-1.31796-1.30203-1.56509
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
27.6%
44.5%
27.9%
+138
+240
+135
+235
2
0
-0.89353-0.89509-1.28656
Espanyol
Barcelona
5.6%
82.5%
11.9%
+1800
-621
+1900
-700
1
3
-0.16314-0.15822-0.19196
Las Palmas
Atletico Madrid
7.0%
78.1%
14.9%
+900
-284
+1050
-373
0
2
-0.31965-0.28020-0.24668
Leganes
Girona
12.7%
66.6%
20.7%
+515
-142
+515
-150
3
4
-0.55916-0.55042-0.40693
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.53619 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56777 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.60172
-0.06553
-0.03395

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/11/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Barcelona (11-2-0, 33 pts)25.07.15.980.848.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Real Madrid (8-1-3, 27 pts)24.25.38.581.246.7%99.8%0.2%0.0%
3Atletico Madrid (7-1-5, 26 pts)19.76.811.470.64.5%93.3%4.8%0.0%
4Villarreal (7-2-3, 24 pts)16.411.110.559.70.3%33.1%36.1%0.1%
5Osasuna (6-4-3, 21 pts)13.514.59.950.50.0%3.0%13.5%3.0%
6Athletic Club (5-3-5, 20 pts)16.010.211.859.70.0%39.1%34.2%0.0%
7Betis (5-3-5, 20 pts)13.412.512.052.40.0%4.8%22.8%1.0%
8Real Sociedad (5-5-3, 18 pts)14.613.110.254.10.0%11.2%26.7%1.1%
9Mallorca (5-5-3, 18 pts)12.814.910.348.60.0%2.1%8.7%4.3%
10Girona (5-5-3, 18 pts)13.714.310.051.10.0%5.6%14.7%2.9%
11Celta Vigo (5-6-2, 17 pts)13.615.39.149.80.0%3.1%13.5%3.1%
12Rayo Vallecano (4-4-4, 16 pts)11.515.311.245.70.0%0.8%5.8%12.3%
13Sevilla (4-6-3, 15 pts)12.915.110.048.70.0%2.3%9.4%5.0%
14Leganes (3-5-5, 14 pts)8.717.811.537.70.0%0.0%0.3%56.3%
15Alaves (4-8-1, 13 pts)12.417.58.145.30.0%0.8%3.7%15.0%
16Las Palmas (3-7-3, 12 pts)10.217.99.940.60.0%0.1%1.2%38.5%
17Getafe (1-5-7, 10 pts)8.915.313.940.50.0%0.1%1.2%36.0%
18Espanyol (3-8-1, 10 pts)10.918.98.340.90.0%0.2%0.5%37.3%
19Valladolid (2-8-3, 9 pts)8.919.49.736.40.0%0.1%0.0%65.0%
20Valencia (1-6-4, 7 pts)10.715.711.743.70.0%0.5%2.7%19.1%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.