Alaves at Real Madrid

Updated

Alaves

4.1%10.5%85.4%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.50Projected Goals 2.86
0Final Score 5

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Girona+235
W 1-0 at Valencia+305
W 0-3 vs Celta Vigo+170
W 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid+410
L 0-2 at Granada+190
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 4-0 at Granada-175
W 0-3 vs Cadiz-290
W 1-0 at Real Sociedad+222
W 2-3 vs Barcelona-138
W 1-0 at Mallorca-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+750+1116+1100+1285+1234+1285+1285+1335.4
Real Madrid-325-439-480-485-483-485-439-399.9
Draw+475+599+600+640+612+640+640+666.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+990-+1102--+1250+1250+1335.4
Real Madrid-400--470---510-470-399.9
Draw+500-+590--+610+610+666.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Real Madrid ML moved from -477 to -485

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +950 to +925
Real Madrid ML moved from -480 to -510

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o3½+118o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼+107
Underu2¾+102u3½-140u3¼-118u3¼-118u3¼-112u3¼-118u3½-140u3¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-135o3-135o3-120o3-125o3-135o3-120o3¼+107
Underu3-118u3+115u3+115u3+100u3-105u3+115u3+115u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.9%
 
No63.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.48%
Exactly 219.63%
Exactly 418.44%
Exactly 66.93%
Exactly 81.39%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.69%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 512.38%
Exactly 73.32%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 060.82%
Exactly 130.24%
Exactly 27.52%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 05.73%
Exactly 116.38%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.96%
Exactly 59.13%
Exactly 64.35%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.13%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 313.23%
Exactly 51.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 079.43%
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 22.11%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 026.60%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 310.29%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals0.78%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals66.40%
Wins by 3+ goals44.08%
Wins by 4+ goals24.93%
Wins by 5+ goals12.11%
Wins by 6+ goals5.09%
Wins by 7+ goals1.86%
Wins by 8+ goals0.57%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Real Madrid
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal3.29%
Wins by 2 goals0.67%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal18.94%
Wins by 2 goals22.32%
Wins by 3 goals19.15%
Wins by 4 goals12.82%
Wins by 5 goals7.01%
Wins by 6 goals3.24%
Wins by 7 goals1.29%
Wins by 8 goals0.45%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.52%3.48%
1.584.82%15.18%
2.565.19%34.81%
3.543.23%56.77%
4.524.79%75.21%
5.512.41%87.59%
6.55.48%94.52%
7.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.18%60.82%
1.58.94%91.06%
2.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.27%5.73%
1.577.89%22.11%
2.554.47%45.53%
3.532.14%67.86%
4.516.18%83.82%
5.57.05%92.95%
6.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.87%21.13%
1.546.02%53.98%
2.520.49%79.51%
3.57.27%92.73%
4.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.48%
9.96%
14.24%
13.58%
9.71%
5.55%
1
1.73%
4.95%
7.08%
6.75%
4.83%
2.76%
2
0.43%
1.23%
1.76%
1.68%
1.20%
0.69%
Alaves
1-01.73%
2-00.43%
2-11.23%
Draw
0-03.48%
1-14.95%
2-21.76%
3-30.28%
Real Madrid
0-19.96%
0-214.24%
1-27.08%
0-313.58%
1-36.75%
2-31.68%
0-49.71%
1-44.83%
2-41.20%
3-40.20%
0-55.55%
1-52.76%
2-50.69%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
21.13%
27.98%
18.53%
8.18%
2.71%
0.72%
0.16%
1
4.87%
6.44%
4.27%
1.88%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.56%
0.74%
0.49%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Alaves
1-04.87%
2-00.56%
2-10.74%
Draw
0-021.13%
1-16.44%
2-20.49%
Real Madrid
0-127.98%
0-218.53%
1-24.27%
0-38.18%
1-31.88%
2-30.22%
0-42.71%
1-40.62%
0-50.72%
1-50.17%
0-60.16%