England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+509
-191
+500
-195
0.79
2.18		2.97
o3+103
u3-117

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+110
+272
+115
+250
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2¼+101
u2¼-118

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+317
-113
+315
-115
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½-107
u2½-104

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-117
+348
-120
+330
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2¼-120
u2½-120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+589
-212
+510
-200
0.93
2.07		3.00
o2¾-117
u3-132

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+365
-133
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-113
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+264
+103
+260
+100
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-118
u2¾-122

West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+136
+221
+140
+205
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-123
u2+112

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+137
+214
+135
+210
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼-104
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+357
-130
+385
-140
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-112
u2½+100

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Stoke City		31.1%
39.9%		28.9%
+183
+170
+180
+160
4
0		-1.07400-1.07790-1.16664
Norwich City
Blackpool		44.5%
27.8%		27.7%
-110
+314
-115
+310
1
0		-0.68306-0.67712-0.80984
Millwall
Blackburn		26.5%
46.6%		26.9%
+237
+132
+230
+130
1
2		-0.87103-0.88201-0.76340
Preston North End
Sunderland		26.3%
46.3%		27.4%
+254
+125
+250
+120
0
0		-1.21271-1.21456-1.29499
Middlesbrough
Coventry City		39.3%
32.2%		28.5%
+144
+204
+135
+200
0
1		-1.14175-1.15024-1.13227
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion		20.9%
54.7%		24.4%
+411
-142
+410
-145
3
2		-1.66998-1.67906-1.56437
Birmingham City
Sheffield United		9.2%
73.4%		17.4%
+545
-188
+580
-205
1
1		-1.49816-1.50905-1.74778
Burnley
Cardiff City		47.3%
26.1%		26.6%
+142
+220
+135
+215
1
1		-1.22864-1.22809-1.32486
Queens Park Rangers
Bristol City		33.2%
40.2%		26.5%
+221
+125
+220
+120
2
1		-1.20324-1.21456-1.10205
Luton Town
Hull City		36.3%
35.3%		28.3%
+145
+215
+130
+215
2
0		-0.92614-0.88671-1.01277
Rotherham United
Middlesbrough		17.0%
60.2%		22.8%
+440
-151
+460
-165
0
0		-1.42433-1.43624-1.48021
Bristol City
Burnley		10.6%
71.7%		17.7%
+335
-116
+340
-135
1
2		-0.64095-0.60475-0.33328
Blackpool
Millwall		17.8%
58.2%		24.0%
+333
-106
+350
-120
1
2		-0.69597-0.65815-0.54075
Sheffield United
Preston North End		43.2%
28.2%		28.6%
+155
+206
+130
+220
2
0		-0.96517-0.88201-0.83917
Sunderland
Watford		15.5%
62.6%		21.9%
+325
+102
+280
+100
2
2		-1.26869-1.29000-1.51700
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers		30.6%
42.4%		27.0%
+219
+135
+210
+130
0
0		-1.26263-1.27397-1.30956
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76209 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76613 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52482
0.23727
0.24131

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.