England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn
19.2%
58.0%
22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81
2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Leeds United
13.2%
67.7%
19.1%
+431
-162
+435
-175
0
3
-0.51663-0.50380-0.39075
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
17.4%
60.2%
22.3%
+417
-160
+450
-185
0
2
-0.52246-0.48394-0.50717
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield Wednesday
40.7%
31.3%
28.0%
+157
+200
+135
+205
2
3
-1.11252-1.16575-1.16066
Queens Park Rangers
Blackburn
24.4%
50.9%
24.7%
+288
+105
+260
+105
0
2
-0.74013-0.76787-0.67539
Norwich City
Derby County
36.5%
33.9%
29.7%
+152
+184
+150
+175
3
2
-0.95909-0.96446-1.00890
Luton Town
Plymouth Argyle
46.6%
27.2%
26.2%
-105
+287
-115
+290
1
3
-1.38446-1.41075-1.30052
Blackburn
Preston North End
25.6%
48.3%
26.1%
+147
+195
+160
+175
0
0
-1.26312-1.24396-1.34301
Swansea City
Coventry City
23.5%
51.2%
25.3%
+340
-109
+335
-130
2
1
-1.49010-1.52037-1.44638
Plymouth Argyle
West Bromwich Albion
12.5%
68.9%
18.6%
+662
-247
+615
-260
0
1
-0.37831-0.37664-0.37280
Leeds United
Cardiff City
56.7%
20.6%
22.7%
-135
+432
-135
+370
2
0
-0.57233-0.60347-0.56699
Sheffield Wednesday
Luton Town
13.3%
66.8%
19.9%
+295
-101
+295
-110
1
2
-0.72408-0.69631-0.40326
Oxford United
Bristol City
19.8%
57.6%
22.6%
+356
-124
+345
-130
1
2
-0.62946-0.62228-0.55094
Derby County
Sheffield United
17.4%
58.7%
23.9%
+460
-127
+430
-170
0
1
-0.57192-0.51224-0.53190
Portsmouth
Burnley
10.4%
72.0%
17.6%
+569
-203
+575
-215
1
2
-0.43947-0.43117-0.32848
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
26.2%
47.4%
26.4%
+213
+140
+210
+135
1
1
-1.23663-1.24382-1.33253
Middlesbrough
Sunderland
52.2%
22.9%
24.9%
+168
+167
+185
+145
0
1
-1.01490-0.94788-1.47395
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.10605 
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.08912 
DRatings92-1-6 (0.556)0-1.10726
-0.00121
-0.01814

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.