English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
West Ham United
Newcastle United 		16.8%
61.8%		21.3%
+544
-197
+540
-210
0.91
1.96		2.87
o3-120
u3¼-119
o3-125
u3+105
Games for Nov 24, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Manchester United
Ipswich Town 		55.5%
20.7%		23.8%
-150
+425
-140
+415
2.67
o2¾-122
u3-121
o3+110
u3-115
1st H
21:43		1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Luton Town		44.0%
28.5%		27.5%
-108
+290
-115
+285
1
2		-1.38629-1.39171-1.25572
Manchester City
Crystal Palace		71.1%
11.1%		17.9%
-280
+950
-310
+1245
4
2		-0.32594-0.28824-0.34153
Manchester United
Chelsea		21.1%
54.9%		23.9%
+296
-122
+282
-120
3
4		-0.62510-0.64516-0.59907
Sheffield United
Liverpool		3.6%
87.2%		9.3%
+3000
-1466
+3500
-2050
1
3		-0.08819-0.09046-0.13744
Aston Villa
Manchester City		5.3%
83.7%		11.0%
+1250
-435
+1050
-450
1
4		-0.23169-0.24755-0.17781
Brighton and Hove Albion
Brentford		37.5%
34.0%		28.5%
+176
+149
+175
+149
0
0		-1.36172-1.34323-1.25355
Luton Town
Arsenal		3.0%
89.0%		8.0%
+1950
-775
+1600
-800
0
2		-0.15527-0.16683-0.11631
Tottenham
West Ham United		37.0%
36.1%		26.9%
-101
+257
-110
+250
1
1		-1.46824-1.48157-1.31237
Wolverhampton
Burnley		28.3%
43.1%		28.5%
+210
+135
+200
+135
1
1		-1.30041-1.29638-1.25362
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth		35.0%
35.5%		29.5%
+305
-111
+303
+100
0
1		-0.67387-0.70785-1.03510
Everton
Newcastle United		14.8%
65.1%		20.1%
+277
+103
+270
+100
1
1		-1.34992-1.35802-1.60231
Fulham
Nottingham Forest		32.6%
38.5%		28.9%
+167
+173
+169
+165
1
3		-1.03209-1.01688-0.95555
Arsenal
Manchester City		14.3%
66.2%		19.4%
+276
+108
+280
+105
0
0		-1.32516-1.30926-1.63882
Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool		10.2%
73.1%		16.7%
+850
-325
+800
-300
1
2		-0.29461-0.30858-0.31322
Manchester United
Brentford		46.5%
27.3%		26.3%
+105
+247
+100
+260
1
1		-1.42134-1.42312-1.33735
Wolverhampton
Aston Villa		18.9%
57.5%		23.5%
+540
-183
+520
-185
0
2		-0.46077-0.47683-0.55262
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.14776 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.17752 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.30104
-0.15328
-0.12352

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (9-1-1, 28 pts)24.36.57.280.252.6%98.5%0.8%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-2-2, 23 pts)23.66.67.878.640.9%98.5%1.0%0.0%
3Chelsea (5-2-4, 19 pts)17.49.411.263.40.9%47.8%19.1%0.0%
4Arsenal (5-2-4, 19 pts)19.58.010.569.15.0%79.9%9.3%0.0%
5Nottingham Forest (5-2-4, 19 pts)12.714.211.249.20.0%1.2%1.8%2.2%
6Brighton and Hove Albion (5-2-4, 19 pts)16.010.611.459.40.2%19.5%15.1%0.0%
7Fulham (5-3-3, 18 pts)13.713.810.451.70.0%4.2%4.4%2.0%
8Newcastle United (5-3-3, 18 pts)15.112.210.656.00.1%8.8%10.7%0.3%
9Aston Villa (5-3-3, 18 pts)15.312.010.656.60.0%11.1%9.2%0.0%
10Tottenham (5-5-1, 16 pts)16.912.88.459.00.3%20.5%16.2%0.0%
11Brentford (5-5-1, 16 pts)12.816.88.446.90.0%0.5%1.3%4.8%
12Manchester United (4-4-3, 15 pts)14.912.710.455.10.0%8.9%9.2%0.4%
13Bournemouth (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.915.610.546.10.0%0.4%1.3%6.8%
14West Ham United (3-5-3, 12 pts)11.116.310.543.90.0%0.1%0.2%12.1%
15Everton (2-5-4, 10 pts)9.717.011.240.40.0%0.0%0.2%25.6%
16Leicester City (2-5-4, 10 pts)9.317.611.238.90.0%0.0%0.1%33.6%
17Ipswich Town (1-5-5, 8 pts)7.518.611.934.40.0%0.0%0.0%63.7%
18Crystal Palace (1-6-4, 7 pts)9.417.011.539.80.0%0.1%0.0%27.5%
19Wolverhampton (1-7-3, 6 pts)8.918.510.537.30.0%0.0%0.1%43.9%
20Southampton (1-9-1, 4 pts)7.921.88.232.10.0%0.0%0.0%77.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.