English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+575
-245
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Bournemouth		26.4%
47.7%		25.9%
+157
+202
+150
+194
4
0		-0.96247-0.96302-1.33249
Tottenham
Newcastle United		23.7%
52.4%		23.8%
+308
-105
+325
-115
1
6		-0.69203-0.65518-0.64537
Aston Villa
Brentford		29.7%
43.7%		26.6%
+184
+168
+175
+163
1
1		-1.24084-1.23977-1.32482
Everton
Crystal Palace		24.5%
49.8%		25.7%
+338
+100
+330
+100
0
0		-1.26054-1.25635-1.35934
Wolverhampton
Leicester City		18.8%
58.4%		22.8%
+215
+147
+205
+141
1
2		-0.92483-0.92445-0.53727
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool		4.5%
84.6%		10.9%
+1509
-560
+1450
-570
2
3		-0.19220-0.19818-0.16750
Leeds United
Fulham		24.8%
49.9%		25.3%
+213
+140
+198
+150
1
2		-0.89710-0.94305-0.69547
Southampton
Arsenal		6.3%
81.5%		12.1%
+1390
-460
+1340
-525
3
3		-2.02488-2.03325-2.11122
Liverpool
Leeds United		63.7%
15.9%		20.4%
-142
+359
-138
+350
6
1		-0.56402-0.57647-0.45128
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest		66.2%
13.6%		20.2%
-140
+405
-145
+400
2
0		-0.56337-0.55963-0.41189
Arsenal
West Ham United		68.0%
13.3%		18.7%
-162
+481
-165
+470
2
2		-1.48135-1.45209-1.67536
Leicester City
Manchester City		5.3%
84.2%		10.5%
+1950
-689
+2000
-825
1
3		-0.15265-0.15081-0.17167
Bournemouth
Tottenham		8.8%
76.2%		15.0%
+590
-195
+543
-200
3
2		-1.95694-1.90683-2.42792
Fulham
Everton		25.9%
48.4%		25.7%
+256
+126
+255
+119
3
1		-1.29583-1.30745-1.35270
Crystal Palace
Southampton		35.7%
36.2%		28.1%
+175
+194
+165
+187
2
0		-1.03260-1.01688-1.02999
Brentford
Wolverhampton		30.4%
41.1%		28.5%
+173
+190
+175
+180
0
2		-1.08616-1.06618-0.89023
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.