English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+585
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Crystal Palace
Chelsea		11.9%
69.3%		18.8%
+368
-112
+350
-115
0
1		-0.65994-0.66764-0.36694
Fulham
Newcastle United		17.2%
60.7%		22.1%
+622
-198
+590
-210
0
1		-0.42440-0.42442-0.49936
Bournemouth
Brentford		17.8%
59.6%		22.6%
+496
-156
+460
-162
0
2		-0.51158-0.52362-0.51827
Leicester City
Nottingham Forest		38.9%
33.2%		27.8%
+187
+175
+175
+168
0
2		-1.02037-1.02664-1.10244
West Ham United
Wolverhampton		32.1%
39.5%		28.4%
+211
+174
+190
+155
0
1		-1.00215-0.97979-0.92940
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		51.2%
23.3%		25.5%
+137
+214
+126
+200
0
3		-1.15059-1.14022-1.45599
Southampton
Everton		21.4%
55.7%		22.9%
+243
+138
+230
+140
2
1		-1.23922-1.22561-1.54267
Manchester City
Manchester United		58.5%
19.2%		22.2%
-111
+309
-118
+300
1
2		-1.43012-1.43288-1.64948
Leeds United
Aston Villa		15.3%
64.8%		19.9%
+287
+104
+280
-102
1
2		-0.73307-0.72817-0.43420
Chelsea
Fulham		57.8%
19.1%		23.1%
+107
+303
+100
+296
1
2		-1.41219-1.42184-1.65585
Manchester City
Chelsea		52.6%
23.1%		24.3%
-142
+432
-150
+415
1
0		-0.54587-0.54818-0.64204
Tottenham
Crystal Palace		41.0%
31.9%		27.1%
+127
+237
+120
+240
4
0		-0.84169-0.82952-0.89265
Wolverhampton
Aston Villa		22.5%
52.4%		25.1%
+330
-102
+300
-105
1
1		-1.28801-1.30575-1.42504
West Ham United
Leeds United		39.7%
33.3%		27.0%
+160
+191
+165
+180
2
2		-1.26249-1.25197-1.30859
Nottingham Forest
Southampton		21.4%
54.5%		24.1%
+227
+141
+225
+130
1
0		-1.20387-1.21797-1.54398
Bournemouth
Manchester United		8.6%
76.1%		15.3%
+1064
-350
+1095
-400
0
3		-0.27752-0.26889-0.27370
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.