Cubs at Astros

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
42.1%57.9%
Cubs WinAstros Win
3.62Projected Runs 4.45
6Final Score 7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-13.050.97

J.P. France (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.770.686

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 3-7 at Houston AstrosCHC: Justin Steele • HOU: Cristian Javier+160
L 4-6 at Houston AstrosCHC: Jameson Taillon • HOU: Framber Valdez+180
L 3-16 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIN: Louie Varland+125
L 1-11 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • MIN: Joe Ryan+155
W 6-2 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIN: Sonny Gray+143
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • HOU: Cristian Javier-170
W 4-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • HOU: Framber Valdez-195
W 4-3 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Hunter Brown • CHW: Lucas Giolito-121
L 1-3 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Brandon Bielak • CHW: Dylan Cease+115
W 5-1 at Chicago White SoxHOU: J.P. France • CHW: Michael Kopech-145

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 1BEric HosmerRest
  • PAdrian Sampson60-day IL
  • CFCody BellingerUnknown
  • -Brad BoxbergerUnknown
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PLuis GarciaUnknown
  • PJose UrquidyUnknown
NNW 5 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°82°79°77°
Humidity48%53%59%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindNNW 5 mphNNW 5 mphN 4 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+140+153+144+154+153+154+154+158.9
Astros-150-163-175-167-163-167-163-158.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+135+152+156+143+154+150+156+158.9
Astros-160-165-172-170-168-175-165-158.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Astros ML moved from -157 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +148 to +140
Astros ML moved from -165 to -175

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-150+1½-133+1½-140+1½-137+1½-140+1½-137+1½-133+1½-125
Astros-1½+130-1½+117-1½+120-1½+117-1½+120-1½+117-1½+120-1½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-155+1½-145+1½-136+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-136+1½-125
Astros-1½+130-1½+125-1½+118-1½+122-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o8½-103o8½-105o8½-107o8½-105o8½-107o8½-103o8½+103
Underu9½-120u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8½-113u8½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-100o8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+103
Underu9-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115