Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
42.8%57.2%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.09Projected Runs 3.85
0Final Score 1

Chicago Cubs

(81-78)
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Nick Martinez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1510-63.221.05

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2711-83.411.143

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-5 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Jakob Junis • CLE: Andrew Walters+132
L 1-6 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Jakob Junis • CLE: Tanner Bibee+176
L 2-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene+101
W 1-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CIN: Rhett Lowder-117
W 3-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Nick Martinez-117
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-9 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Javier Assad • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+190
W 10-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Tanner Banks+102
L 2-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Nate Pearson • PHI: Aaron Nola+185
W 0-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • CHC: Shota Imanaga-190
L 5-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-126

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PBrandon Williamson60-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaIn Lineup
  • PJulian Aguiar15-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJulian MerryweatherOut for Season
  • RFSeiya SuzukiRest
  • 1BMichael BuschIn Lineup
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • 3BNick Madrigal60-day IL
NE 19 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
InVery High on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°71°72°72°
Humidity66%64%64%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindNE 19 mphNE 20 mphNNE 20 mphNNE 21 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+127+111+109+110+112+110+112+114.5
Cubs-152-121-131-120-122-120-120-114.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+125+110+110+114+112+112+114+114.5
Cubs-135-120-120-129-122-122-120-114.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +120 to +114
Cubs ML moved from -140 to -153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +125 to +115
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-180+1½-197+1½-200+1½-205+1½-200+1½-205+1½-197+1½-185
Cubs-1½+150-1½+173-1½+170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-185+1½-200+1½-200+1½-185
Cubs-1½+170-1½+175-1½+176-1½+170-1½+165-1½+175-1½+176-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o6½-118o6½-125o6½-123o6½-120o6½-123o6½-118o6½-112
Underu6½-115u6½+102u6½+105u6½+103u6½+100u6½+103u6½+105u6½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o6½-120o6½-120o6½-115o6½-110o6½-120o6½-110o6½-112
Underu6½-115u6½+100u6½+100u6½-105u6½-110u6½+100u6½+100u6½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-115 to o6½-125
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-110 to o6½-120
The Under moved from u7-120 to u6½-110