Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.0
47.0%53.0%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.47Projected Runs 3.78
5Final Score 8
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.0
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
129-11.721.009

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-33.771.378

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 3-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • KCR: Cole Ragans-121
L 7-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • KCR: Alec Marsh-113
L 11-8 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Dylan Cease • KCR: Michael Wacha+126
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Daniel Lynch IV • MIN: Chris Paddack+144
W 6-1 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Seth Lugo • MIN: Bailey Ober+121
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-122
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • CLE: Ben Lively-136
W 1-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CLE: Tanner Bibee-215
L 4-7 at Colorado RockiesCLE: Logan Allen • COL: Ty Blach-138
W 13-7 at Colorado RockiesCLE: Triston McKenzie • COL: Ryan Feltner-128

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 2BMichael Massey10-day IL
  • PMichael Wacha15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
ENE 5 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°80°79°77°
Humidity60%62%64%67%
Precipitation0%0%27%36%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 5 mphENE 4 mphESE 3 mphSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+105+114+112+115+116+115+116+119.4
Guardians-115-124-134-125-126-125-124-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+105+114+114+118+112+114+118+119.4
Guardians-115-124-124-133-122-124-122-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +103 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -121 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +101 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -127 to -133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-220+1½-183+1½-185+1½-182+1½-195+1½-182+1½-182+1½-169
Guardians-1½+180-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+167-1½+162-1½+167-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-169
Guardians-1½+170-1½+170-1½+168-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-118o8-105o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-105o8-104
Underu7½-110u8+102u8-115u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+102u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-130o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-104
Underu7½+110u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½+100
The Under moved from u8-104 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-130 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110