Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
35.8%64.2%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.15Projected Runs 4.64
1Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Zack Greinke (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
191-105.41.303

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-22.711.079

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 5-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Ryan Yarbrough • CLE: Logan Allen+185
L 5-8 at New York YankeesKCR: Jordan Lyles • NYY: Luis Severino+175
L 2-5 at New York YankeesKCR: Brady Singer • NYY: Gerrit Cole+220
L 4-5 at New York YankeesKCR: Alec Marsh • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+180
L 3-0 vs Detroit TigersDET: Michael Lorenzen • KCR: Zack Greinke+120
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Ryan Yarbrough • CLE: Logan Allen-205
L 8-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • CLE: Xzavion Curry+120
W 0-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Tanner Bibee+112
W 5-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • CLE: Gavin Williams+108
L 5-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Rich Hill-135

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PJosh Taylor60-day IL
  • PDaniel Lynch15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PShane Bieber60-day IL
  • PCal Quantrill15-day IL
NNW 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°80°78°76°
Humidity60%62%64%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 3 mphNW 1 mphSE 3 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+174+185+176+182+182+182+185+188.0
Guardians-190-205-216-200-195-200-195-188.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+162+185+178+170+189+172+189+188.0
Guardians-195-210-197-205-210-205-197-188.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +180 to +170
Guardians ML moved from -194 to -201

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Guardians ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-133+1½-108+1½-115+1½-112+1½-120+1½-112+1½-108+1½-102
Guardians-1½+117-1½-108-1½-105-1½-108-1½+100-1½-108-1½+100-1½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-135+1½-120+1½-118+1½-120+1½-110+1½-120+1½-110+1½-102
Guardians-1½+115-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½-110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+102

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-103o9+100o8½-125o9-105o8½-125o9+100o8½-114
Underu8½-105u9-113u9-120u8½+105u9-115u8½+105u9-113u8½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-110o8½-135o9-105o8½-130o9+100o9+100o8½-114
Underu8½-105u9-110u8½+115u9-115u8½+110u9-120u8½+115u8½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-130 to o8½-140
The Under moved from u8½+103 to u8½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-125