MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 26, 2024
Games for Dec 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Washington Nationals
58.0%
42.0%
-160
+154
-157
+158
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½-110
7
4
-0.49456-0.49133-0.54449
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.3%
48.7%
-112
+104
-115
+108
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-160
5
2
-0.65643-0.64124-0.66785
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
43.7%
56.3%
+121
-130
+122
-127
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
4
-0.58810-0.59064-0.57368
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
49.1%
50.9%
+108
-117
+110
-118
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+181
5
1
-0.75211-0.75927-0.71225
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
36.7%
63.3%
+231
-240
+220
-235
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-120
2
8
-0.35628-0.36844-0.45771
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-121
+117
-123
+117
-1½+122
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-125
5
2
-0.61068-0.60732-0.58967
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
38.8%
61.2%
+177
-185
+170
-180
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
3
8
-0.44222-0.45497-0.49150
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
52.7%
47.3%
-116
+109
-112
+106
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
4
-0.75256-0.73635-0.74845
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.6%
54.4%
+117
-123
+118
-121
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+166
1
6
-0.60732-0.60859-0.60798
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
47.6%
52.4%
+113
-122
+114
-122
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
7
-0.77499-0.77751-0.74179
Kansas City Royals
Washington Nationals
51.6%
48.4%
-130
+122
-127
+129
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
0
-0.58609-0.57691-0.66237
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
43.6%
56.4%
+132
-140
+132
-140
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+152
2
5
-0.55326-0.55326-0.57345
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
48.1%
51.9%
+119
-128
+120
-126
+1½-181
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
7
-0.59519-0.59626-0.65674
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.5%
46.5%
-155
+145
-158
+148
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
1
2
-0.91198-0.92377-0.76585
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
41.8%
58.2%
+194
-209
+190
-200
+1½-109
-1½+102
+1½-110
-1½+110
6
9
-0.40738-0.41690-0.54080
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
47.4%
52.6%
-147
+143
-139
+138
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-129
8
1
-0.52560-0.54374-0.74579
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.