MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 27, 2024
Games for Dec 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
46.5%
53.5%
+107
-114
+105
-112
+1½-197
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+175
4
2
-0.74322-0.73382-0.76552
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
50.9%
49.1%
-110
+101
-108
+100
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4
5
-0.71924-0.71219-0.71129
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.4%
55.6%
+142
-148
+150
-148
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+140
11
0
-0.89372-0.91305-0.81234
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
52.3%
47.7%
-105
-103
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
3
-0.69788-0.70528-0.73961
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
52.6%
47.4%
-114
+105
-112
+105
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
7
3
-0.65009-0.65406-0.64164
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
45.2%
54.8%
+119
-125
+125
-126
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+173
3
4
-0.59989-0.58621-0.60079
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
38.4%
61.6%
+218
-230
+216
-240
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
4
1
-1.16825-1.17267-0.95649
Kansas City Royals
Washington Nationals
55.6%
44.4%
-188
+178
-185
+180
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
1
0
-0.43892-0.43838-0.58729
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
42.9%
57.1%
+136
-141
+133
-138
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
5
-0.54480-0.55399-0.56066
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
46.0%
54.0%
+119
-124
+116
-122
+1½-183
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+175
6
5
-0.79405-0.78255-0.77692
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
40.6%
59.4%
+150
-160
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
3
-0.93156-0.93156-0.90189
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
38.1%
61.9%
+178
-187
+176
-184
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-123
-1½+105
1
6
-0.43959-0.44420-0.47965
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+101
-108
+102
-107

-1½+170
+1½-175
10
4
-0.71474-0.71498-0.70788
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.2%
42.8%
-143
+133
-144
+134
-1½+120
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-130
7
2
-0.54771-0.54473-0.55902
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
42.5%
57.5%
+171
-180
+175
-180
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
2
-0.45361-0.44830-0.55318
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.3%
52.7%
+174
-184
+175
-180
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
6
3
-1.02074-1.01807-0.74923
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.