Groningen at Excelsior

Updated

Groningen

36.6%29.7%33.7%
Groningen WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.04
0Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-105
L 1-2 at Utrecht+440
T 0-0 at Emmen+215
W 2-4 vs PSV Eindhoven+930
L 0-3 at Twente+700
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-5 at Feyenoord+1700
L 1-0 vs Heerenveen+305
L 1-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+400
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+600
L 1-7 at Ajax+2400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+160+181+185+185-+185+185-
Excelsior+150+149+135+135-+135+149-
Draw+260+253+255+265-+265+265-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+155----+180+180-
Excelsior+165----+140+140-
Draw+255----+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +172 to +165
Excelsior ML moved from +147 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Groningen ML
Excelsior ML moved from +155 to +145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+118o2¾-115o2¾-116-o2¾-116o2¾-115-
Underu3-122u3-138u2¾-105u2¾-104-u2¾-104u2¾-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.9%
 
No57.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.87%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.20%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 319.15%
Exactly 54.35%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 033.49%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 035.44%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.07%
Exactly 36.59%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.28%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 060.26%
Exactly 130.52%
Exactly 27.73%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 061.86%
Exactly 129.71%
Exactly 27.14%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals14.63%
Wins by 3+ goals4.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals12.90%
Wins by 3+ goals3.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.88%
Wins by 2 goals10.20%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals9.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.13%11.87%
1.562.84%37.16%
2.535.88%64.12%
3.516.73%83.27%
4.56.53%93.47%
5.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.51%33.49%
1.529.88%70.12%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.56%35.44%
1.527.80%72.20%
2.58.73%91.27%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.72%37.28%
1.525.94%74.06%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Excelsior
Score012345
0
11.87%
12.31%
6.39%
2.21%
0.57%
0.12%
1
12.98%
13.47%
6.99%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
7.10%
7.37%
3.82%
1.32%
0.34%
0.07%
3
2.59%
2.69%
1.39%
0.48%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.71%
0.73%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-012.98%
2-07.10%
2-17.37%
3-02.59%
3-12.69%
3-21.39%
4-00.71%
4-10.73%
4-20.38%
4-30.13%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.87%
1-113.47%
2-23.82%
3-30.48%
Excelsior
0-112.31%
0-26.39%
1-26.99%
0-32.21%
1-32.42%
2-31.32%
0-40.57%
1-40.63%
2-40.34%
3-40.12%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Excelsior
Score0123
0
37.28%
17.90%
4.30%
0.69%
1
18.88%
9.07%
2.18%
0.35%
2
4.78%
2.30%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.81%
0.39%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-018.88%
2-04.78%
2-12.30%
3-00.81%
3-10.39%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-037.28%
1-19.07%
2-20.55%
Excelsior
0-117.90%
0-24.30%
1-22.18%
0-30.69%
1-30.35%
Ajax at NEC Nijmegen
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