Excelsior at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

Excelsior

40.3%28.0%31.7%
Excelsior WinDrawGo Ahead Eag Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 3

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+600
L 1-7 at Ajax+2400
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+500
L 1-0 vs Utrecht+375
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+340
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
T 3-3 at NEC Nijmegen+280
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+175
T 0-0 vs Cambuur+120
T 1-1 at Ajax+2500
W 0-2 vs Emmen+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+281+415+400+400+331+400+415-
Go Ahead Eag-107-161-170-165-140-165-140-
Draw+282+335+320+340+310+340+340-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+315----+400+400-
Go Ahead Eag-125-----165-165-
Draw+290----+335+335-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 60.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +428 to +415
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from -140 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 60.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o3-133o3¼+105o3¼+102-o3¼+102o3¼+105-
Underu2½+118u3+113u3¼-125u3¼-122-u3¼-122u3+113-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o3-105
The Under moved from u3-116 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.67%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 412.00%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.59%
Exactly 320.55%
Exactly 55.61%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 028.47%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 033.96%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.90%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 055.89%
Exactly 132.51%
Exactly 29.46%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 060.65%
Exactly 130.33%
Exactly 27.58%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals17.83%
Wins by 3+ goals6.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals12.29%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal22.48%
Wins by 2 goals11.72%
Wins by 3 goals4.44%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal19.32%
Wins by 2 goals8.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.33%9.67%
1.567.75%32.25%
2.541.36%58.64%
3.520.81%79.19%
4.58.81%91.19%
5.53.20%96.80%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.53%28.47%
1.535.77%64.23%
2.513.30%86.70%
3.53.89%96.11%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.04%33.96%
1.529.36%70.64%
2.59.56%90.44%
3.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.10%33.90%
1.529.43%70.57%
2.59.59%90.41%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Score012345
0
9.67%
10.44%
5.64%
2.03%
0.55%
0.12%
1
12.15%
13.12%
7.08%
2.55%
0.69%
0.15%
2
7.63%
8.24%
4.45%
1.60%
0.43%
0.09%
3
3.20%
3.45%
1.86%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
4
1.00%
1.08%
0.59%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.27%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-012.15%
2-07.63%
2-18.24%
3-03.20%
3-13.45%
3-21.86%
4-01.00%
4-11.08%
4-20.59%
4-30.21%
5-00.25%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.67%
1-113.12%
2-24.45%
3-30.67%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-110.44%
0-25.64%
1-27.08%
0-32.03%
1-32.55%
2-31.60%
0-40.55%
1-40.69%
2-40.43%
3-40.18%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Score0123
0
33.90%
16.95%
4.24%
0.71%
1
19.72%
9.86%
2.47%
0.41%
2
5.74%
2.87%
0.72%
0.12%
3
1.11%
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-019.72%
2-05.74%
2-12.87%
3-01.11%
3-10.56%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.90%
1-19.86%
2-20.72%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-116.95%
0-24.24%
1-22.47%
0-30.71%
1-30.41%
2-30.12%
Fortuna Sittard at Sparta R'dam
Groningen at Emmen