Twente at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Twente

34.3%26.9%38.8%
Twente WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Groningen-320
L 1-6 at PSV Eindhoven+700
W 2-3 vs Go Ahead Eagles-175
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard-120
T 2-2 vs Ajax+175
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 2-1 at NAC Breda+100
W 1-2 vs Ajax+160
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-300
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+160
L 2-1 vs Willem II-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+177+275+265+275+273+275+275+302.0
AZ Alkmaar+140+110+105+101+105+101+110+115.4
Draw+280+237+220+225+228+225+237+248.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+185----+230+230+302.0
AZ Alkmaar+135----+110+110+115.4
Draw+265----+270+270+248.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +286 to +277
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +101 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +255 to +230
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +120 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o2½-125o2½-120o2½-119o2½-117o2½-119o2½-117o2½-108
Underu3-130u2½+106u2½+100u2½-101u2½-103u2½-101u2½+106u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.14%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 413.43%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.41%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 56.74%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 029.92%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 38.76%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 027.19%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 310.01%
Exactly 43.26%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.30%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 057.20%
Exactly 131.95%
Exactly 28.92%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 054.72%
Exactly 132.99%
Exactly 29.95%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals14.40%
Wins by 3+ goals4.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals17.37%
Wins by 3+ goals6.07%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
AZ Alkmaar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal19.83%
Wins by 2 goals9.70%
Wins by 3 goals3.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.41%
Wins by 2 goals11.30%
Wins by 3 goals4.37%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.86%8.14%
1.571.45%28.55%
2.545.85%54.15%
3.524.43%75.57%
4.511.00%89.00%
5.54.26%95.74%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.08%29.92%
1.533.97%66.03%
2.512.19%87.81%
3.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.81%27.19%
1.537.40%62.60%
2.514.34%85.66%
3.54.33%95.67%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.70%31.30%
1.532.35%67.65%
2.511.23%88.77%
3.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
8.14%
10.60%
6.90%
3.00%
0.98%
0.25%
1
9.82%
12.78%
8.32%
3.61%
1.18%
0.31%
2
5.92%
7.71%
5.02%
2.18%
0.71%
0.18%
3
2.38%
3.10%
2.02%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
4
0.72%
0.94%
0.61%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.23%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Twente
1-09.82%
2-05.92%
2-17.71%
3-02.38%
3-13.10%
3-22.02%
4-00.72%
4-10.94%
4-20.61%
4-30.26%
5-00.17%
5-10.23%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-08.14%
1-112.78%
2-25.02%
3-30.88%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.60%
0-26.90%
1-28.32%
0-33.00%
1-33.61%
2-32.18%
0-40.98%
1-41.18%
2-40.71%
3-40.29%
0-50.25%
1-50.31%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Score01234
0
31.30%
18.87%
5.69%
1.14%
0.17%
1
17.48%
10.54%
3.18%
0.64%
0.10%
2
4.88%
2.94%
0.89%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.91%
0.55%
0.17%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-017.48%
2-04.88%
2-12.94%
3-00.91%
3-10.55%
3-20.17%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-031.30%
1-110.54%
2-20.89%
AZ Alkmaar
0-118.87%
0-25.69%
1-23.18%
0-31.14%
1-30.64%
2-30.18%
0-40.17%
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