Ajax at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Ajax

37.5%26.9%35.6%
Ajax WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.24
1Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Utrecht-225
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen-140
W 0-2 vs Zwolle-875
T 2-2 at Twente+145
W 2-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+200
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-300
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+160
L 2-1 vs Willem II-175
L 2-3 at Feyenoord+460
T 2-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+145+158+155+160+152+160+160+173.5
AZ Alkmaar+179+167+160+162+168+162+168+175.6
Draw+266+258+240+250+246+250+258+268.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+120----+160+160+173.5
AZ Alkmaar+210----+160+160+175.6
Draw+265----+255+255+268.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +164 to +158
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +170 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +180 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o3+105o3+102o2¾-106o3+102o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾+104
Underu2½+120u3-123u3-122u2¾-114u3-124u2¾-114u3-122u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.11%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.46%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.37%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.76%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 027.91%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 39.67%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 029.06%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 39.14%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.25%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 055.38%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 29.67%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 056.43%
Exactly 132.29%
Exactly 29.24%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals16.50%
Wins by 3+ goals5.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals15.24%
Wins by 3+ goals5.08%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals10.84%
Wins by 3 goals4.11%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.30%
Wins by 2 goals10.16%
Wins by 3 goals3.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.89%8.11%
1.571.52%28.48%
2.545.93%54.07%
3.524.50%75.50%
4.511.04%88.96%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.09%27.91%
1.536.48%63.52%
2.513.75%86.25%
3.54.08%95.92%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.94%29.06%
1.535.02%64.98%
2.512.83%87.17%
3.53.69%96.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.75%31.25%
1.532.40%67.60%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
8.11%
10.02%
6.19%
2.55%
0.79%
0.19%
1
10.35%
12.79%
7.90%
3.26%
1.01%
0.25%
2
6.61%
8.16%
5.04%
2.08%
0.64%
0.16%
3
2.81%
3.47%
2.15%
0.88%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.90%
1.11%
0.68%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.28%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Ajax
1-010.35%
2-06.61%
2-18.16%
3-02.81%
3-13.47%
3-22.15%
4-00.90%
4-11.11%
4-20.68%
4-30.28%
5-00.23%
5-10.28%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.11%
1-112.79%
2-25.04%
3-30.88%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.02%
0-26.19%
1-27.90%
0-32.55%
1-33.26%
2-32.08%
0-40.79%
1-41.01%
2-40.64%
3-40.27%
0-50.19%
1-50.25%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Score01234
0
31.25%
17.88%
5.11%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.47%
10.57%
3.02%
0.58%
0.08%
2
5.46%
3.12%
0.89%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.07%
0.61%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Ajax
1-018.47%
2-05.46%
2-13.12%
3-01.07%
3-10.61%
3-20.18%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-031.25%
1-110.57%
2-20.89%
AZ Alkmaar
0-117.88%
0-25.11%
1-23.02%
0-30.98%
1-30.58%
2-30.17%
0-40.14%