Heracles Almelo at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heracles Almelo

6.8%12.8%80.3%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.76
0Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-130
L 0-1 at Utrecht+600
W 0-2 vs NAC Breda+120
L 0-5 at Twente+890
L 4-3 vs Ajax+565
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+160
L 2-1 vs Willem II-175
L 2-3 at Feyenoord+460
T 2-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles-145
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+852+662+600+630+640+630+662+667.4
AZ Alkmaar-317-247-260-250-269-250-247-212.0
Draw+472+407+380+400+391+400+407+425.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+745----+700+700+667.4
AZ Alkmaar-285-----300-300-212.0
Draw+425----+465+465+425.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +642 to +626
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -244 to -250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +745 to +700
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -285 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-114o3-121o3-115o3-115o3-113o3-115o3-113o3-104
Underu3-103u3+103u3-105u3-105u3-107u3-105u3+103u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-104
Under-----u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.17%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 418.75%
Exactly 67.45%
Exactly 81.58%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.94%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 512.94%
Exactly 73.67%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 049.94%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 212.04%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 06.34%
Exactly 117.50%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 415.29%
Exactly 58.43%
Exactly 63.87%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.22%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 45.50%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 313.76%
Exactly 51.76%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 072.50%
Exactly 123.31%
Exactly 23.75%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 027.89%
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 222.74%
Exactly 39.68%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals1.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals60.05%
Wins by 3+ goals38.22%
Wins by 4+ goals20.72%
Wins by 5+ goals9.65%
Wins by 6+ goals3.90%
Wins by 7+ goals1.36%
Wins by 8+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal5.09%
Wins by 2 goals1.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.24%
Wins by 2 goals21.83%
Wins by 3 goals17.50%
Wins by 4 goals11.07%
Wins by 5 goals5.75%
Wins by 6 goals2.53%
Wins by 7 goals0.96%
Wins by 8 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.83%3.17%
1.585.90%14.10%
2.567.02%32.98%
3.545.30%54.70%
4.526.55%73.45%
5.513.61%86.39%
6.56.17%93.83%
7.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.06%49.94%
1.515.39%84.61%
2.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.66%6.34%
1.576.16%23.84%
2.552.04%47.96%
3.529.86%70.14%
4.514.58%85.42%
5.56.15%93.85%
6.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.78%20.22%
1.547.45%52.55%
2.521.62%78.38%
3.57.86%92.14%
4.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.17%
8.74%
12.05%
11.07%
7.63%
4.21%
1
2.20%
6.07%
8.36%
7.69%
5.30%
2.92%
2
0.76%
2.11%
2.90%
2.67%
1.84%
1.02%
3
0.18%
0.49%
0.67%
0.62%
0.43%
0.23%
Heracles Almelo
1-02.20%
2-00.76%
2-12.11%
3-00.18%
3-10.49%
3-20.67%
Draw
0-03.17%
1-16.07%
2-22.90%
3-30.62%
AZ Alkmaar
0-18.74%
0-212.05%
1-28.36%
0-311.07%
1-37.69%
2-32.67%
0-47.63%
1-45.30%
2-41.84%
3-40.43%
0-54.21%
1-52.92%
2-51.02%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
20.22%
25.82%
16.48%
7.02%
2.24%
0.57%
0.12%
1
6.50%
8.30%
5.30%
2.26%
0.72%
0.18%
0.04%
2
1.05%
1.33%
0.85%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-06.50%
2-01.05%
2-11.33%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-020.22%
1-18.30%
2-20.85%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.82%
0-216.48%
1-25.30%
0-37.02%
1-32.26%
2-30.36%
0-42.24%
1-40.72%
2-40.12%
0-50.57%
1-50.18%
0-60.12%
Go Ahead Eag at Twente
Ajax at NEC Nijmegen