Heerenveen at Willem II

Updated

Heerenveen

36.7%27.5%35.8%
Heerenveen WinDrawWillem II Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.20
2Final Score 1

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-150
L 0-3 at Feyenoord+945
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+160
L 0-3 at Fortuna Sittard+255
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+130
Willem II
Money Line
L 0-2 at Groningen+285
T 2-2 vs NAC Breda+130
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+500
L 1-0 vs Twente+455
L 0-1 at Ajax+700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+171+242+240+235+241+235+242+252.6
Willem II+156+129+125+129+121+129+129+141.1
Draw+258+221+200+215+218+215+221+231.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+195----+250+250+252.6
Willem II+145----+125+125+141.1
Draw+230----+210+210+231.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +250 to +242
Willem II ML moved from +119 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML
Willem II ML moved from +145 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½+121o2¼-108o2¼-109o2¼-104o2¼-109o2¼-104o2¼+101
Underu2½+104u2½-142u2¼-112u2¼-111u2¼-116u2¼-111u2½-142u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.90%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 412.70%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.52%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 56.15%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 029.57%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 030.09%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 221.70%
Exactly 38.69%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.62%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 056.88%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.05%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 057.35%
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 28.87%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals15.67%
Wins by 3+ goals5.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals15.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.95%
Wins by 4+ goals1.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal20.96%
Wins by 2 goals10.48%
Wins by 3 goals3.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal20.66%
Wins by 2 goals10.18%
Wins by 3 goals3.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.10%8.90%
1.569.58%30.42%
2.543.54%56.46%
3.522.54%77.46%
4.59.83%90.17%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.43%29.57%
1.534.40%65.60%
2.512.45%87.55%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.91%30.09%
1.533.77%66.23%
2.512.07%87.93%
3.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.38%32.62%
1.530.84%69.16%
2.510.37%89.63%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Willem II
Score012345
0
8.90%
10.68%
6.42%
2.57%
0.77%
0.19%
1
10.84%
13.02%
7.82%
3.13%
0.94%
0.23%
2
6.60%
7.93%
4.76%
1.91%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.68%
3.22%
1.93%
0.77%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.82%
0.98%
0.59%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.20%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-010.84%
2-06.60%
2-17.93%
3-02.68%
3-13.22%
3-21.93%
4-00.82%
4-10.98%
4-20.59%
4-30.24%
5-00.20%
5-10.24%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-08.90%
1-113.02%
2-24.76%
3-30.77%
Willem II
0-110.68%
0-26.42%
1-27.82%
0-32.57%
1-33.13%
2-31.91%
0-40.77%
1-40.94%
2-40.57%
3-40.23%
0-50.19%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Willem II
Score01234
0
32.62%
18.14%
5.04%
0.93%
0.13%
1
18.40%
10.23%
2.85%
0.53%
0.07%
2
5.19%
2.89%
0.80%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.98%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-018.40%
2-05.19%
2-12.89%
3-00.98%
3-10.54%
3-20.15%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-032.62%
1-110.23%
2-20.80%
Willem II
0-118.14%
0-25.04%
1-22.85%
0-30.93%
1-30.53%
2-30.15%
0-40.13%
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